NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	4.0 [992]		MVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): +5.0%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	1.5 [868]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -11.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	13	59%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	10	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	19	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	15	39%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	33%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	10	42%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	78%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	10	78%	0.05	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	59%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	-0.11	16	29%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	19	59%	0.05	5	-0.11	18	83%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.8	31.0	18.5	25.8	2.7	32.6	142.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.7%

SAS +7.8%

SAS +5.5%

NYK -7.4%

SAS +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.2	89.2	104.3	101.7
season	16.1	15.5		100.0	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		95.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.7	15.7	17.4	14.4	16.0
SAS	13.3	14.9	16.1	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	11	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-16	19	14.5	16.3	-1.80	14.2	15.2	-1.06
Kurt Thomas	33	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-11	9	16.6	15.7	0.83	15.7	14.7	1.00
Marcus Camby	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-10	7	15.8	16.3	-0.52	15.4	14.8	0.65
Chris Childs	51	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-8	3	15.4	16.8	-1.40	16.0	13.9	2.14
Charlie Ward	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	16.8	15.3	1.50	13.6	16.6	-2.96
Larry Johnson	57	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-8	3	16.1	16.0	0.07	15.7	14.1	1.52
Allan Houston	84	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-2	-9	15.8	18.2	-2.41	15.1	14.6	0.55
Patrick Ewing	62	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	4	-21	16.2	15.7	0.55	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Latrell Sprewell	74	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	4	-21	16.3	15.2	1.05	14.7	16.6	-2.00

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	84	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.09	25	-12	37	14.6	20.0	-5.38	16.4	12.1	4.22
Terry Porter	72	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-4	21	15.0	15.2	-0.21	16.0	16.3	-0.39
Avery Johnson	76	77	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-6	25	14.6	17.2	-2.62	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Mario Elie	69	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-8	29	14.6	16.7	-2.14	16.0	16.1	-0.12
David Robinson	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	8	-3	15.3	14.5	0.83	15.4	18.2	-2.84
Jerome Kersey	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	13	-13	17.8	14.8	3.04	16.4	16.0	0.40
Malik Rose	30	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	17	-21	15.9	14.7	1.26	16.7	15.8	0.96
Antonio Daniels	20	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	21	-29	15.6	14.9	0.72	16.3	16.0	0.39
Jaren Jackson	29	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	23	-33	16.3	14.5	1.84	16.3	15.9	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIA 68, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
POR 88, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%