NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	4.2 [994]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +11.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	1.7 [891]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (POR): -10.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Przybilla	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	69%	0.04	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	15	62%	0.08	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Geno Carlisle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	12	38%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	10	20%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	41%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	18	64%	0.16	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	82%	0.15	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	3	86%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	14	62%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	1.7	31.5	16.0	25.2	2.4	28.6	125.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.7%

CLE +8.5%

POR -12.0%

CLE +14.3%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	15.5	89.8	115.5	104.0
season	15.8	16.2		101.2	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	15.4	16.0	12.2	14.7
CLE	13.7	15.3	13.3	17.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	10.3	15.3	-4.97	17.9	14.4	3.55
Geno Carlisle	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	10.3	15.3	-4.97	17.9	14.4	3.55
Joel Przybilla	49	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.26	-10	-14	4	13.3	16.0	-2.69	16.0	13.6	2.47
Sebastian Telfair	22	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.24	-10	-14	4	11.5	15.6	-4.06	16.6	14.3	2.31
Derek Anderson	55	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	-12	0	16.2	12.7	3.47	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Darius Miles	83	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-9	-6	14.4	16.5	-2.09	15.2	12.7	2.49
Ruben Patterson	49	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-11	-2	14.3	15.0	-0.69	15.0	14.7	0.22
Theo Ratliff	39	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-12	0	17.1	13.1	4.04	13.8	15.5	-1.69
Zach Randolph	64	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-14	4	16.3	11.6	4.71	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Damon Stoudamire	57	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-10	-4	15.0	14.3	0.73	13.6	16.5	-2.92
Nick Van Exel	48	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	-4	-16	14.3	15.0	-0.71	14.5	15.2	-0.65

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	66	69	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	9	6	13.8	17.1	-3.31	15.6	12.6	3.04
Jeff McInnis	79	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.16	21	3	18	14.5	16.2	-1.69	14.5	15.3	-0.78
LeBron James	74	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	7	10	14.4	16.4	-2.03	15.3	12.6	2.71
Drew Gooden	69	71	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	12	0	14.5	15.7	-1.27	15.3	13.2	2.08
Lucious Harris	21	21	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	15	-6	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.9	14.6	0.21
Anderson Varejao	28	27	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.14	12	12	0	15.7	14.5	1.27	13.2	15.3	-2.08
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	14	-4	14.9	14.8	0.07	16.7	12.4	4.26
Scott Williams	33	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	18	-12	14.5	15.0	-0.55	13.1	15.4	-2.34
Eric Snow	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.20	10	14	-4	15.7	14.5	1.27	14.5	14.8	-0.27
Sasha Pavlovic	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	17.9	14.4	3.55	10.3	15.3	-4.97
Dajuan Wagner	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	17.9	14.4	3.55	10.3	15.3	-4.97
DeSagana Diop	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	17.5	14.5	3.03	10.6	15.2	-4.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHH 90, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
NYK 84, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%