NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	90		Excitement	4.4 [911]		MVP	Cherokee Parks (MIN): +10.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	1.7 [635]		LVP	Matt Geiger (CHH): -12.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Farmer	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	8	39%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Corey Beck	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	9	45%	-0.03	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Matt Geiger	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	0.09	14	57%	-0.07	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cherokee Parks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.03	8	74%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	19	48%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	19	51%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	20	43%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	2	33%	-0.01	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	24.6	15.5	23.3	2.4	29.7	120.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +26.2%

CHH -4.6%

MIN +11.1%

MIN +15.8%

MIN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIN	NBA	CHH	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.6	91.8	110.4	102.5
season	15.7	14.8		104.0	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		104.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.0	15.8	18.2	14.6	15.6
MIN	14.8	13.0	14.5	14.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Reid	40	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-16	16	14.3	16.4	-2.03	14.8	13.6	1.16
Tony Delk	30	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-18	20	13.8	16.3	-2.57	14.0	14.2	-0.13
Tony Farmer	46	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-14	12	15.5	15.6	-0.01	14.1	14.1	-0.01
Corey Beck	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-10	4	14.4	16.0	-1.63	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Vlade Divac	46	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-12	8	16.4	14.8	1.58	13.2	14.9	-1.70
Muggsy Bogues	24	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-9	2	16.1	15.4	0.76	13.2	14.5	-1.25
Dell Curry	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-12	8	15.6	15.5	0.15	15.6	13.3	2.27
David Wesley	53	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	-1	-14	16.4	14.6	1.80	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Matt Geiger	52	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-4	-8	14.8	16.4	-1.58	14.9	13.2	1.70
Anthony Mason	65	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	0	-16	16.2	14.2	1.97	13.4	15.7	-2.30
Glen Rice	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.04	-16	0	-16	16.0	14.4	1.60	14.2	13.7	0.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	70	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.10	22	-6	28	13.5	15.7	-2.20	16.4	13.1	3.32
Tom Gugliotta	69	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	-5	26	13.8	15.1	-1.32	16.2	13.9	2.29
Cherokee Parks	67	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-2	20	13.8	14.8	-1.01	16.1	14.1	1.99
Kevin Garnett	72	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	3	10	13.8	15.2	-1.44	16.5	12.6	3.88
Chris Carr	45	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	8	0	12.7	15.4	-2.75	16.5	14.7	1.78
Doug West	36	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	8	0	15.7	13.2	2.56	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Sam Mitchell	42	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	15	-14	15.4	13.2	2.19	14.0	16.7	-2.76
Stanley Roberts	29	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	18	-20	14.8	13.8	1.01	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Reggie Jordan	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	14.1	14.1	-0.02	10.1	16.1	-5.99
DeJuan Wheat	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	13.6	14.2	-0.55	10.2	16.0	-5.77
Terry Porter	33	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	19	-22	15.8	13.3	2.49	14.0	16.4	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 84, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 100, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.2%
POR 88, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%