NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	4.3 [964]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +15.8%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	2.0 [878]		LVP	Darius Songaila (CHI): -7.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.00	0.07	16	71%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Rashad McCants	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	11	43%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.07	-0.03	0.09	10	75%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	5	71%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.01	0.03	18	65%	0.16	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	18	52%	0.09	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	13	67%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	12	39%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	34.3	15.5	26.4	2.3	34.5	141.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.5%

MIN -7.1%

CHI +11.7%

CHI +16.8%

MIN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.6	104.2	115.6	104.4
season	16.1	14.4		101.0	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.9		102.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.2	15.8	15.3	13.5	14.9
CHI	14.8	14.2	16.0	15.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	19	19	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-13	15	14.6	15.0	-0.36	15.2	15.1	0.16
Mark Madsen	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-9	7	16.4	14.8	1.56	11.6	15.3	-3.67
Anthony Carter	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-9	7	14.4	15.0	-0.58	16.6	14.9	1.62
Marko Jaric	37	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-8	5	13.7	15.7	-1.93	15.1	15.1	0.00
Trenton Hassell	65	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-12	13	15.0	14.6	0.40	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Rashad McCants	60	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.13	-3	-8	5	14.2	16.2	-2.00	15.2	14.9	0.31
Marcus Banks	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	15.4	13.8	1.58	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Mark Blount	55	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	6	-23	15.9	13.6	2.28	15.1	15.1	0.05
Kevin Garnett	83	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	-2	-7	14.9	14.8	0.08	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Ricky Davis	77	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	4	-19	14.9	15.0	-0.10	15.5	13.2	2.25

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	91	91	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-1	13	15.2	13.8	1.35	15.1	12.0	3.08
Luol Deng	88	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	2	7	15.2	14.1	1.05	15.1	12.4	2.77
Ben Gordon	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	4	3	15.1	15.0	0.17	14.4	16.7	-2.28
Tyson Chandler	40	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	1	9	13.5	16.2	-2.71	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Andres Nocioni	49	49	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	6	-1	15.1	15.1	-0.00	13.8	16.0	-2.21
Darius Songaila	49	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	10	-9	16.1	14.0	2.08	15.3	14.5	0.75
Malik Allen	24	23	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	4	3	14.8	15.2	-0.33	15.6	14.7	0.91
Othella Harrington	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	10	-9	15.4	14.9	0.52	15.3	14.6	0.66
Chris Duhon	16	16	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	9	-7	15.8	14.9	0.87	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Eric Piatkowski	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	10	-9	13.3	15.3	-2.00	18.0	14.5	3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHH 90, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAS 93, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%