inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 91 Excitement4.1 [996] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +23.6%
Dallas Mavericks 115 Comeback1.6 [884] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -14.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.000.03880%0.0900.004100%0.02
Robert Horry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.00460%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Malik Rose0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.00-0.00-0.02863%0.042-0.02367%-0.01
Tim Duncan0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.001559%0.052-0.04786%0.02
Kevin Willis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.09636%-0.003-0.00250%0.00
Charlie Ward-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03729%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.031035%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Devin Brown-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.01743%-0.0510.0000%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.000.0020%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Tony Parker-0.140,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.05-0.02847%-0.035-0.12333%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.240.020.031488%0.2400.00683%0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.010.031568%0.1000.004100%0.02
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.02287%0.0300.00475%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.00955%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011154%0.012-0.00250%-0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01560%0.0020.0000%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.01-0.04775%0.096-0.096100%0.03
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00250%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.00-0.02930%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.03.532.520.232.93.827.6145.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +34.6%
DAL +8.1%
SAS -0.2%
DAL +6.1%
DAL +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game15.414.115.791.9119.8100.5
season15.914.6100.1109.2
opponent15.615.8105.092.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.718.013.614.715.4
DAL12.015.513.016.614.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Willis2323-0.02-0.480.460.16-6-181214.715.6-0.8416.613.43.20
Ron Mercer2625-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-222015.015.5-0.5216.113.52.63
Devin Brown3029-0.12-0.380.260.20-11-13214.915.6-0.6916.313.23.07
Bruce Bowen3231-0.17-0.340.17-0.02-5-191416.614.81.7414.613.90.71
Malik Rose4644-0.17-0.330.150.21-13-11-214.116.5-2.3414.413.90.55
Tim Duncan5251-0.20-0.300.11-0.02-6-181215.715.10.5713.115.3-2.21
Manu Ginobili4745-0.20-0.300.100.21-14-10-415.215.5-0.2913.714.5-0.80
Tony Parker5151-0.20-0.300.09-0.06-5-191415.115.7-0.6712.316.2-3.89
Robert Horry3130-0.29-0.21-0.080.09-13-11-215.415.4-0.0415.113.71.45
Charlie Ward4845-0.30-0.20-0.090.26-19-5-1415.715.10.6716.212.33.89
Rasho Nesterovic4644-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.03-10-14416.714.32.4113.115.0-1.93
Hedo Turkoglu6362-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-16-8-815.315.6-0.2712.417.3-4.85

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley70730.53-0.030.55-0.122222012.718.0-5.3515.714.51.25
Antoine Walker58610.480.020.47-0.132131814.214.00.2715.714.90.71
Dirk Nowitzki71740.460.040.41-0.222312213.416.1-2.6816.213.03.24
Steve Nash65650.340.160.19-0.181861212.018.5-6.5216.014.21.75
Shawn Bradley23240.240.26-0.02-0.141311211.315.0-3.6716.814.91.91
Josh Howard63650.210.29-0.08-0.26168815.112.32.8415.016.0-0.98
Antawn Jamison57590.130.37-0.25-0.251311215.811.74.0315.115.8-0.78
Scott Williams31300.110.39-0.280.08123-2214.214.10.0415.015.5-0.50
Eduardo Najera16170.000.50-0.500.03-125-2618.113.34.7113.615.7-2.10
Marquis Daniels16160.000.50-0.500.03-125-2618.113.34.7111.916.0-4.11
Tony Delk10110.000.50-0.500.15-529-3420.613.47.2211.815.8-4.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 85, DEN 1050.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
DET 86, POR 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
NYK 83, SAS 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.5%