NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	99		Excitement	1.4 [789]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +12.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	2.1 [963]		LVP	Jeff Green (SEA): -8.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	13	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Mouhamed Sene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	19	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	9	35%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	4	87%	0.16	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.03	0.03	22	62%	0.12	3	-0.06	12	83%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	13	59%	0.08	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	41%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	30.2	15.8	32.2	2.7	30.5	141.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.6%

LAL +15.7%

SEA -1.3%

LAL +4.5%

LAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	15.4	102.1	107.1	105.7
season	14.5	14.6		99.1	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		104.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.6	15.3	15.0	14.8	15.4
LAL	12.3	16.0	12.3	15.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	34	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	16.5	14.8	1.66	14.9	13.5	1.36
Mouhamed Sene	5	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	16.0	15.4	0.61	11.7	14.1	-2.46
Nick Collison	34	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-5	3	15.8	15.2	0.57	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Earl Watson	50	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-11	15	15.9	14.9	1.03	15.4	12.5	2.95
Kevin Durant	75	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-10	13	15.1	16.4	-1.28	13.9	14.1	-0.14
Kurt Thomas	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-5	3	15.2	15.7	-0.49	14.2	13.7	0.51
Jeff Green	62	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	16.2	14.0	2.27	14.4	13.3	1.05
Delonte West	47	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	4	-15	14.9	15.9	-1.03	12.5	15.4	-2.95
Chris Wilcox	57	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	3	-13	14.7	16.4	-1.71	14.0	13.9	0.10
Damien Wilkins	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	4	-15	15.0	16.3	-1.34	13.4	15.0	-1.58

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	74	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-9	25	13.1	16.5	-3.34	15.5	15.2	0.27
Derek Fisher	67	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-12	31	12.4	17.3	-4.88	15.4	15.5	-0.04
Lamar Odom	82	80	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-7	21	13.5	16.4	-2.87	15.6	14.5	1.15
Chris Mihm	47	45	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-3	13	13.0	14.9	-1.87	16.2	14.7	1.49
Luke Walton	46	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	3	1	14.4	13.6	0.85	14.6	16.1	-1.55
Vladimir Radmanovic	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	1	5	12.8	14.5	-1.74	17.3	14.6	2.67
Andrew Bynum	52	52	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	10	-13	14.9	13.0	1.87	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Ronny Turiaf	40	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.30	-10	17	-27	15.4	13.0	2.34	14.6	16.0	-1.45
Jordan Farmar	32	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.22	-12	19	-31	17.3	12.4	4.88	15.5	15.4	0.04
Sasha Vujacic	25	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	16	-25	16.5	13.1	3.34	15.2	15.5	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MIN 103, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
LAC 89, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%