NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	4.6 [862]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (SAC): +5.5%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.5 [760]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): -18.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.11	8	44%	0.08	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pooh Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	40%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	71%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
James Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	42%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02
Darrick Martin	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	14	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	20	41%	-0.04	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.04	-0.06	12	20%	-0.12	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	67%	0.10	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.02	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	71%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	11	36%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Salvadori	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	10	32%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	26.9	15.0	25.0	2.4	25.6	118.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +27.5%

SAC +7.0%

SAC +4.3%

SAC +12.4%

LAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.5	13.5	15.6	86.4	101.9	102.5
season	15.5	15.2		101.0	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.1		104.3	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	14.9	16.4	11.8	14.5
SAC	13.9	15.7	13.6	11.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pooh Richardson	31	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-20	24	12.5	15.3	-2.87	10.4	14.9	-4.50
James Collins	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-21	26	9.2	15.1	-5.89	8.2	14.3	-6.04
Keith Closs	47	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-14	12	12.4	16.1	-3.70	13.0	13.9	-0.97
Lamond Murray	66	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-9	2	14.9	13.7	1.18	14.5	11.8	2.72
Maurice Taylor	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-10	4	14.3	14.5	-0.22	11.4	14.8	-3.33
Eric Piatkowski	48	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-9	2	12.9	15.9	-3.00	13.0	14.0	-1.01
Stojko Vrankovic	56	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-2	-12	16.1	12.4	3.70	13.9	13.0	0.97
Rodney Rogers	79	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	-1	-14	15.2	12.1	3.09	14.5	10.2	4.35
Brent Barry	79	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	-1	-14	15.2	12.1	3.09	14.5	10.2	4.35
Darrick Martin	59	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.06	-23	7	-30	15.6	13.0	2.58	14.3	12.4	1.92

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	63	63	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.09	25	-9	34	14.4	12.1	2.30	16.3	11.6	4.67
Michael Stewart	58	59	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.06	23	-7	30	14.3	12.4	1.92	15.6	13.0	2.58
Corliss Williamson	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.10	22	-6	28	13.8	12.7	1.09	15.5	11.7	3.85
Anthony Johnson	40	40	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	2	12	14.5	12.9	1.59	17.5	12.5	4.98
Mark Hendrickson	56	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	1	14	14.0	12.9	1.16	14.8	14.1	0.75
Bobby Hurley	56	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	12	-8	12.9	14.2	-1.22	12.2	17.2	-4.99
Billy Owens	36	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	15	-14	15.4	12.5	2.85	15.3	14.0	1.36
Kevin Salvadori	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	8.0	14.1	-6.10	8.9	15.0	-6.10
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	38	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	19	-22	11.6	14.6	-3.01	12.4	15.6	-3.24
Olden Polynice	45	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	23	-30	12.4	14.3	-1.92	13.0	15.6	-2.58
Terry Dehere	40	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.12	-9	25	-34	12.1	14.4	-2.30	11.6	16.3	-4.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHI 85, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
IND 86, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%