NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	3.9 [999]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +15.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.5 [1044]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -14.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	25%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	15	36%	-0.09	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	20	38%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.03	0.04	16	77%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.02	0.08	13	75%	0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	11	42%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	12	33%	-0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	28.0	15.5	26.6	2.3	30.5	131.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.0%

POR +4.3%

POR +7.0%

POR +9.1%

IND -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	15.5	92.5	110.9	100.9
season	15.9	15.8		99.3	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.7	16.4	17.5	12.6	16.1
POR	16.5	14.9	13.0	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	39	38	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.08	9	-25	34	13.4	18.1	-4.75	16.2	14.2	2.04
Zan Tabak	26	24	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-21	26	12.7	17.4	-4.70	15.5	14.9	0.61
Jeff Foster	19	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-19	22	11.7	17.3	-5.57	15.1	15.0	0.06
Jonathan Bender	23	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-16	16	13.6	17.0	-3.39	14.5	15.2	-0.69
Austin Croshere	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-9	2	15.5	16.5	-0.97	14.6	15.3	-0.66
Derrick McKey	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-12	8	18.8	15.0	3.80	15.9	14.7	1.19
Travis Best	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-4	-8	14.9	18.4	-3.53	14.7	15.5	-0.74
Sam Perkins	42	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-2	-12	18.7	14.0	4.78	14.8	15.2	-0.46
Jalen Rose	74	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	0	-16	17.5	10.6	6.96	15.2	14.4	0.81
Jermaine O'Neal	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	3	-22	16.7	14.7	2.05	15.1	14.8	0.34
Reggie Miller	54	54	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	0.05	-25	9	-34	18.1	13.4	4.75	14.2	16.2	-2.04

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	65	66	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.02	23	-7	30	14.2	16.9	-2.61	16.9	14.2	2.67
Scottie Pippen	67	67	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.04	22	-6	28	14.5	16.3	-1.74	17.4	12.8	4.54
Arvydas Sabonis	51	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-2	20	14.7	15.3	-0.60	18.0	13.9	4.12
Damon Stoudamire	62	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-1	18	14.6	15.8	-1.22	17.3	13.8	3.52
Rasheed Wallace	66	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	1	14	14.8	15.5	-0.63	16.8	14.1	2.74
Dale Davis	49	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	8	0	15.1	15.0	0.11	14.4	17.9	-3.47
Gary Grant	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.0	15.0	-0.01	9.2	16.8	-7.51
Will Perdue	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	13.5	15.1	-1.58	7.8	16.6	-8.79
Steven Smith	52	53	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	23	-30	16.2	13.4	2.76	14.1	18.8	-4.66
Stacey Augmon	27	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	23	-30	16.3	14.5	1.82	13.8	17.0	-3.26
Shawn Kemp	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	23	-30	18.8	14.5	4.25	15.3	16.2	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAS 92, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIL 75, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%