inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 85 Excitement5.0 [793] MVPAaron Gray (CHI): +8.4%
Chicago Bulls 96 Comeback1.9 [690] LVPRyan Gomes (MIN): -9.5%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Randy Foye0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.01861%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Craig Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00180%0.0500.00367%-0.01
Rashad McCants0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.031452%0.093-0.08367%0.01
Michael Doleac0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03653%0.043-0.055100%0.02
Marko Jaric-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.000.08774%0.032-0.05580%-0.01
Antoine Walker-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03225%-0.001-0.02450%-0.02
Sebastian Telfair-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.010.03847%-0.012-0.053100%0.01
Al Jefferson-0.080,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.01-0.060.041853%-0.033-0.052100%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0120%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Ryan Gomes-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.0140%-0.061-0.0400%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.002100%0.111-0.023100%0.01
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.021355%0.112-0.05771%0.00
Viktor Khryapa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.02679%0.051-0.00250%-0.01
Kirk Hinrich0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.030.022053%0.103-0.081182%0.03
Demetris Nichols0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.01845%-0.0100.00475%-0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.021240%-0.0300.0010%-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.02-0.041145%0.013-0.0500%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03320%-0.043-0.05450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.332.614.728.31.630.2131.0
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +9.9%
CHI +2.8%
CHI +25.5%
CHI +11.5%
CHI +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINCHINBAMINCHINBA
this game16.315.215.493.4104.3105.7
season15.915.0102.2102.2
opponent15.515.0105.4109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN16.214.816.018.416.3
CHI15.115.215.315.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Craig Smith22200.09-0.590.68-0.158-192716.616.20.4514.915.3-0.36
Gerald Green31320.01-0.510.52-0.176-172313.317.9-4.6115.115.2-0.09
Michael Doleac660.00-0.500.50-0.217-182510.216.7-6.5613.015.3-2.34
Antoine Walker2827-0.02-0.480.47-0.051-121316.216.3-0.0716.114.81.36
Corey Brewer3130-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-10916.816.00.7216.214.71.46
Sebastian Telfair5858-0.11-0.390.290.13-8-3-515.917.0-1.0615.614.51.09
Marko Jaric6262-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.25-1-10916.016.9-0.8315.115.3-0.22
Randy Foye3334-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.31-3-8517.015.91.0614.515.6-1.09
Ryan Gomes6163-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.13-121-1316.116.7-0.6014.716.3-1.69
Al Jefferson6568-0.590.09-0.680.17-2615-4117.014.72.3015.614.11.49
Rashad McCants5860-0.660.16-0.810.11-2615-4117.913.44.5514.815.9-1.11

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Hinrich81800.63-0.130.77-0.1025-143915.512.72.7917.29.57.68
Ben Wallace68650.59-0.090.68-0.1726-154115.614.11.4917.014.72.30
Joakim Noah60600.55-0.050.590.1713-21514.915.6-0.6715.917.0-1.07
Viktor Khryapa27270.330.170.17-0.1115-41914.315.5-1.2118.915.23.74
Adrian Griffin48450.270.230.050.2129-715.414.90.5315.816.7-0.89
Andres Nocioni60600.180.32-0.140.0938-515.714.21.5315.817.2-1.36
Thabo Sefolosha55570.090.41-0.310.24-516-2114.516.2-1.7715.417.9-2.53
Demetris Nichols650.000.50-0.500.21-718-2513.015.3-2.348.216.8-8.57
Tyrus Thomas3536-0.040.54-0.580.11-516-2115.415.00.3915.916.5-0.58
Aaron Gray2020-0.110.61-0.720.24-1223-3514.315.4-1.0715.716.5-0.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 98, POR 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%
SEA 99, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,194.1%
NJN 78, SAS 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,194.0%