NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	78		Excitement	1.4 [799]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +6.9%
San Antonio Spurs	92		Comeback	1.3 [1009]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -21.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Aaron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	58%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	17	45%	-0.10	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	13	31%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.06	0.02	19	28%	-0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	23	44%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	15	52%	-0.01	4	-0.10	10	60%	-0.05
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.0	30.2	19.3	27.5	3.7	31.0	140.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +27.7%

SAS +7.2%

SAS +13.7%

SAS +2.2%

NJN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAS	NBA	NJN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.5	82.1	97.9	101.6
season	15.0	15.7		101.1	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		96.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.3	15.5	16.1	13.5	15.4
SAS	15.0	14.5	14.5	16.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	15	15	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-17	20	14.2	15.6	-1.38	17.1	14.7	2.32
Brian Scalabrine	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-15	16	16.8	15.2	1.57	13.2	15.3	-2.04
Rodney Rogers	43	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-18	22	15.4	15.3	0.07	15.4	14.8	0.59
Aaron Williams	45	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-18	22	15.5	15.2	0.29	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Lucious Harris	43	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-3	-8	16.4	14.5	1.85	13.5	16.4	-2.88
Jason Collins	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	4	-22	15.2	15.5	-0.29	15.2	15.0	0.18
Richard Jefferson	61	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-2	-10	15.0	15.9	-0.91	16.4	12.8	3.59
Kerry Kittles	68	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	-1	-12	15.5	15.0	0.55	15.2	14.9	0.32
Kenyon Martin	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	2	-18	15.3	15.4	-0.05	14.8	15.9	-1.05
Jason Kidd	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	-2	-10	14.9	16.8	-1.86	14.8	16.3	-1.50

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	86	87	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.04	22	-8	30	14.8	18.7	-3.97	15.6	12.7	2.85
Stephen Jackson	59	62	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.10	22	-8	30	14.8	15.7	-0.91	16.0	14.1	1.99
Manu Ginobili	69	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-4	22	14.1	17.8	-3.71	15.0	16.3	-1.25
Tony Parker	71	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	4	6	15.4	14.4	0.96	15.0	16.3	-1.31
David Robinson	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	6	2	15.1	15.2	-0.10	16.6	14.2	2.37
Malik Rose	44	44	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	11	-8	15.1	15.1	0.04	14.5	16.1	-1.68
Speedy Claxton	12	13	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	13	-12	13.4	15.4	-1.95	18.5	14.9	3.68
Kevin Willis	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	19	-24	17.7	14.7	2.92	12.2	15.8	-3.56
Bruce Bowen	59	58	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	22	-30	16.4	13.0	3.37	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Steve Kerr	12	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	15	-16	16.6	14.9	1.68	14.3	15.5	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 83, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SAC 113, UTA 127	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	94.4%
CHH 79, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%