NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	83		Excitement	1.3 [1078]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): +6.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.4 [1005]		LVP	Eduardo Najera (DEN): -13.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.00	0.09	13	77%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	18	39%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	24	41%	0.01	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	15	64%	0.17	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	17	59%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Daniel Ewing	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.05	17	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	83%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.4	32.2	19.4	30.4	3.4	31.7	147.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.1%

LAC +14.2%

LAC +3.1%

DEN -8.2%

DEN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.6	88.3	108.6	104.4
season	14.4	15.2		103.5	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.8	18.6	15.6	14.7	15.2
LAC	14.4	17.4	14.4	16.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-17	16	14.1	15.3	-1.19	16.1	15.5	0.58
Linas Kleiza	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-18	18	12.3	15.9	-3.63	16.3	15.4	0.84
DerMarr Johnson	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-14	10	18.6	14.2	4.39	14.8	15.8	-1.07
Greg Buckner	65	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-7	-4	14.6	16.7	-2.14	16.0	14.8	1.18
Eduardo Najera	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-4	-10	16.5	13.7	2.75	15.0	16.3	-1.22
Carmelo Anthony	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-11	4	14.5	19.1	-4.66	15.3	17.2	-1.91
Francisco Elson	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-6	-6	15.7	14.7	0.96	16.2	14.9	1.27
Earl Boykins	57	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-3	-12	15.4	14.9	0.57	15.6	15.5	0.08
Andre Miller	61	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	-3	-12	15.4	14.8	0.61	16.0	14.8	1.15
Marcus Camby	59	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-7	-4	14.9	15.7	-0.84	15.1	16.4	-1.30

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	55	53	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.35	34	-16	50	14.8	16.8	-1.98	17.5	12.3	5.18
Corey Maggette	51	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.30	30	-12	42	15.1	16.2	-1.14	17.4	12.7	4.72
Cuttino Mobley	85	86	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.01	17	1	16	15.5	16.1	-0.58	15.3	14.1	1.19
Elton Brand	83	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	5	8	15.3	18.2	-2.92	15.0	17.0	-2.02
Chris Kaman	68	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	11	-4	16.0	14.4	1.63	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Vladimir Radmanovic	25	24	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	6	6	15.3	15.7	-0.43	18.5	14.1	4.36
Daniel Ewing	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	18.0	15.6	2.43	9.0	15.3	-6.35
James Singleton	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	18.0	15.6	2.43	9.0	15.3	-6.35
Sam Cassell	47	49	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.27	-12	30	-42	16.1	15.0	1.13	12.5	18.1	-5.60
Quinton Ross	49	51	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.32	-17	35	-52	16.6	14.5	2.07	12.5	18.4	-5.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, VAN 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NJN 78, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.5%
ATL 87, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%