NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	104		Excitement	5.2 [750]		MVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): +11.8%
Vancouver Grizzlies	118		Comeback	1.5 [850]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -19.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	-0.01	-0.05	27	58%	0.14	5	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Gerard King	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	4	80%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	6	58%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Rod Strickland	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	9	32%	-0.10	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.05

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	14	79%	0.19	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	69%	0.10	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	9	80%	0.13	2	-0.07	12	100%	0.04
Othella Harrington	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	71%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	14	50%	-0.03	5	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	332.1	1.8	30.3	15.5	26.2	2.4	31.6	440.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +23.8%

VAN +22.4%

WAS -3.0%

VAN +8.6%

WAS -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	VAN	NBA	WAS	VAN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	15.5	106.1	119.2	100.9
season	15.2	15.6		98.6	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.7	15.5	14.4	16.0	14.6
VAN	15.6	14.0	12.8	16.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	50	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-11	8	14.8	14.4	0.38	14.0	15.3	-1.39
Michael Smith	25	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-12	10	14.7	14.6	0.12	17.1	13.8	3.26
Gerard King	21	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-9	4	15.0	14.5	0.58	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Rod Strickland	76	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-7	0	14.2	16.0	-1.87	14.4	15.7	-1.36
Chris Whitney	22	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-7	0	16.0	14.2	1.87	15.1	14.5	0.63
Felipe Lopez	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	15.9	13.1	2.82	13.9	15.5	-1.63
Richard Hamilton	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-8	2	13.8	15.5	-1.62	15.9	13.2	2.67
Tyrone Nesby	73	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-1	-12	14.3	15.5	-1.25	14.3	15.7	-1.46
Calvin Booth	27	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	-6	-2	14.3	14.7	-0.46	14.1	14.8	-0.72
Juwan Howard	90	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-3	-8	14.4	16.9	-2.49	14.8	13.4	1.38

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	86	84	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	1	12	14.5	15.6	-1.12	14.7	13.8	0.94
Stromile Swift	37	38	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	3	8	15.1	14.4	0.74	15.3	14.2	1.10
Bryant Reeves	61	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.11	11	3	8	15.2	13.7	1.52	14.2	15.1	-0.89
Michael Dickerson	74	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	3	8	14.4	15.5	-1.12	14.5	14.8	-0.24
Mike Bibby	80	79	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	6	2	14.4	15.6	-1.15	14.6	14.4	0.21
Damon Jones	20	19	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	8	-2	14.9	14.6	0.38	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Kevin Edwards	27	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	13	-12	15.1	14.5	0.69	14.6	14.6	0.02
Doug West	12	13	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	11	-8	15.3	14.6	0.78	14.7	14.6	0.12
Othella Harrington	61	61	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	12	-10	14.6	14.8	-0.23	14.3	15.0	-0.66
Ike Austin	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	10	-6	14.0	15.0	-1.03	14.6	14.6	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 100, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.1%
CLE 84, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NOH 86, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.7%