NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	5.5 [715]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +22.3%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	1.6 [969]		LVP	Austin Rivers (NOP): -13.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	24	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	79%	0.15	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	21	53%	0.06	3	-0.06	7	86%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	11	32%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.24	0.05	0.07	18	72%	0.22	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	14	43%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	18	50%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	31.2	14.8	24.2	2.3	28.7	127.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +16.8%

CHI +4.2%

CHI +21.6%

CHI +5.6%

CHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHI	NBA	NOP	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	15.1	107.5	115.1	104.2
season	15.8	15.5		106.3	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.2		102.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.5	14.7	13.8	16.8	15.3
CHI	17.0	12.4	17.0	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	30	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	-2	-3	14.1	15.9	-1.79	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Omer Asik	40	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-3	-1	15.0	15.6	-0.65	15.6	15.6	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	21	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	0	-7	16.1	15.1	0.97	14.3	16.1	-1.81
John Salmons	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	15.6	15.2	0.43	13.3	16.6	-3.35
Austin Rivers	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-7	7	16.2	14.3	1.90	15.7	15.5	0.17
Anthony Davis	80	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	15.0	17.5	-2.55	15.6	15.9	-0.37
Tyreke Evans	70	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-5	3	15.0	16.4	-1.39	16.3	13.6	2.75
Dante Cunningham	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-4	1	15.4	15.3	0.06	16.3	15.2	1.15
Ryan Anderson	45	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-4	1	16.0	14.8	1.18	16.4	14.8	1.54
Jrue Holiday	68	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	15.4	15.1	0.36	15.7	15.4	0.30

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	51	50	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-6	19	15.4	15.9	-0.56	15.6	15.0	0.64
E'Twaun Moore	39	39	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	2	3	14.6	16.4	-1.74	15.7	15.1	0.56
Mike Dunleavy	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	1	5	16.5	14.4	2.09	16.0	14.4	1.61
Taj Gibson	44	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	3	1	15.4	15.8	-0.36	15.7	15.1	0.61
Joakim Noah	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	4	-1	15.6	15.7	-0.15	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Pau Gasol	56	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	6	-5	16.7	13.9	2.79	15.3	15.4	-0.06
Jimmy Butler	69	69	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	6	-5	16.4	13.5	2.86	15.0	16.4	-1.39
Nikola Mirotic	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	2	3	14.6	16.2	-1.54	15.9	15.1	0.80
Tony Snell	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	7	-7	11.1	16.2	-5.07	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Derrick Rose	53	54	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	10	-13	15.3	16.1	-0.79	14.6	16.3	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, VAN 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DAL 84, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
ATL 92, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%