inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 86 Excitement5.8 [614] MVPDavid Wesley (NOH): +4.4%
Orlando Magic 96 Comeback1.5 [836] LVPJamal Mashburn (NOH): -11.6%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.12-0.010.061665%0.0400.00560%-0.01
P.J. Brown0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.011362%0.113-0.08367%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.03-0.01768%0.062-0.07887%0.01
George Lynch-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00250%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Courtney Alexander-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Kenny Anderson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.00450%-0.003-0.07250%-0.01
Jerome Moiso-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.00325%-0.051-0.0320%-0.03
Robert Traylor-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01731%-0.052-0.06250%-0.01
Baron Davis-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.020.011229%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.011331%-0.072-0.0400%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00467%0.0400.0010%-0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01564%0.021-0.021100%0.01
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.050.032852%0.094-0.10978%-0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.02562%0.001-0.023100%0.02
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.01-0.041343%0.022-0.044100%0.03
Jeryl Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.01825%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.001043%-0.004-0.111100%0.00
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.010.011032%-0.091-0.02250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.829.415.623.61.631.4129.3
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +3.9%
ORL +15.4%
ORL +15.4%
ORL +11.5%
ORL +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHORLNBANOHORLNBA
this game15.615.515.590.5106.7101.6
season15.914.6101.6102.7
opponent15.815.6103.199.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH15.615.716.614.515.6
ORL16.413.114.718.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George Lynch39390.00-0.500.50-0.031-111216.215.20.9616.215.11.12
Jamaal Magloire6057-0.18-0.320.15-0.201-111215.316.1-0.7416.613.72.96
Jerome Moiso2627-0.20-0.300.11-0.02-6-4-216.215.40.7814.316.1-1.78
David Wesley6562-0.25-0.250.00-0.250-101015.016.8-1.8216.114.41.67
Courtney Alexander2220-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-100-1016.215.40.7715.015.7-0.64
Kenny Anderson3732-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.07-7-3-416.415.11.3415.315.7-0.41
P.J. Brown6963-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.19-4-6215.416.2-0.7816.114.31.78
Robert Traylor3533-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.00-111-1216.115.30.7413.716.6-2.96
Baron Davis4945-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.12-8-2-615.116.1-1.0115.615.50.02
Jamal Mashburn7372-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.19-6-4-215.515.8-0.2415.017.7-2.72

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong57610.62-0.120.730.2014-41815.715.30.3815.016.6-1.51
Gordan Giricek67730.450.050.400.151001015.814.90.8516.014.31.71
Tracy McGrady74760.340.160.190.2346-215.615.10.5914.818.7-3.93
Jeryl Sasser26290.280.220.07-0.011001015.315.6-0.2816.615.21.39
Pat Garrity41450.260.240.010.1155016.914.42.5414.616.5-1.88
Shawn Kemp40430.230.27-0.040.0273415.615.50.1015.915.30.62
Drew Gooden54550.210.29-0.070.1046-214.716.7-2.0116.214.71.54
Steven Hunter14160.160.34-0.180.1319-815.815.50.2914.415.8-1.39
Andrew DeClercq31310.140.36-0.220.0537-414.915.9-0.9316.015.40.61
Chris Whitney16160.010.49-0.48-0.0219-813.815.9-2.1117.115.31.77
Jacque Vaughn3030-0.200.70-0.900.06-919-2815.615.50.1316.015.40.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 77, DET 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%
MIL 117, CLE 1240.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
HOU 70, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%