NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	117		Excitement	5.5 [745]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +23.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Comeback	1.4 [794]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): -11.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.22	0.03	0.02	16	86%	0.27	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.24	0.01	0.13	20	73%	0.18	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.03
Thon Maker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	8	31%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	10	57%	0.02	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	15	39%	-0.00	5	-0.11	3	67%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	6	76%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	11	65%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.02	-0.04	13	60%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.02	29	61%	0.28	6	-0.18	8	62%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	26.4	15.4	27.3	2.8	53.2	151.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +23.1%

CLE +8.2%

CLE +19.6%

MIL -0.7%

MIL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	13.1	16.4	14.7	120.6	126.5	107.5
season	14.3	14.8		108.5	111.2
opponent	14.7	15.4		110.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.5	14.6	13.1	10.7	13.1
CLE	16.8	16.0	16.9	15.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thon Maker	50	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-16	25	11.3	15.0	-3.74	16.0	16.8	-0.75
Sterling Brown	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-5	3	11.6	13.3	-1.67	17.7	16.2	1.43
Jason Terry	20	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	13.9	12.9	0.99	19.5	15.7	3.87
Brandon Jennings	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	12.8	13.2	-0.41	17.6	16.0	1.58
Eric Bledsoe	70	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-6	5	13.2	12.8	0.41	16.0	17.6	-1.58
Tony Snell	63	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-7	7	13.2	13.0	0.13	15.6	18.1	-2.55
John Henson	38	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	6	-19	15.9	11.3	4.53	17.4	15.8	1.65
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-6	5	13.1	13.3	-0.22	16.3	16.9	-0.60
Khris Middleton	77	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-5	3	12.9	13.9	-0.99	15.7	19.5	-3.87
Jabari Parker	49	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	7	-21	13.2	13.1	0.10	17.0	15.8	1.21

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	84	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	3	1	16.5	16.1	0.31	13.3	12.3	1.00
LeBron James	82	82	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	3	1	15.9	19.1	-3.25	13.1	13.1	0.06
Jordan Clarkson	59	60	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	3	1	16.4	16.5	-0.09	11.6	15.5	-3.92
Kyle Korver	58	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	1	5	15.8	17.3	-1.46	13.6	12.5	1.09
Ante Zizic	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	0	7	17.7	15.7	1.99	12.4	13.5	-1.17
JR Smith	44	44	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	3	1	16.6	16.3	0.29	13.0	13.2	-0.12
Jose Calderon	36	37	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	3	1	18.0	15.5	2.52	12.4	13.5	-1.10
George Hill	42	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	3	1	15.5	17.1	-1.63	15.3	11.7	3.58
Kevin Love	51	50	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	9	-11	16.5	16.3	0.29	13.5	12.7	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.9%
CLE 83, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
HOU 70, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%