inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 83 Excitement5.6 [689] MVPJason Kapono (CLE): +7.4%
Atlanta Hawks 92 Comeback1.6 [911] LVPDarius Miles (CLE): -29.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Kapono0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.060.031154%0.0700.002100%0.01
Kevin Ollie0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00271%0.0300.003100%0.01
Bruno Sundov0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
J.R. Bremer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Ira Newble-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00250%-0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.03-0.050.031366%0.073-0.12683%0.01
Ricky Davis-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.011744%-0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Chris Mihm-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.01825%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
LeBron James-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.18-0.08-0.001636%-0.163-0.091090%0.04
Darius Miles-0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.24,-0.26,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.21-0.09-0.00110%-0.232-0.0700%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.003100%0.091-0.021100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.030.02-0.00660%0.0400.003100%0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.10-0.020.051572%0.102-0.066100%0.03
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.01933%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.011145%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.120.04-0.042340%0.064-0.101100%0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.020.02450%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.04-0.06925%-0.062-0.04250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.531.60.225.21.725.3111.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +56.8%
CLE -3.4%
CLE -14.4%
ATL +13.3%
CLE -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEATLNBACLEATLNBA
this game14.915.915.788.398.9100.5
season15.715.399.898.2
opponent15.515.5103.0102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.014.113.516.414.9
ATL14.614.115.320.615.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ira Newble21210.11-0.610.72-0.2111-203114.015.2-1.2817.515.42.15
Bruno Sundov76-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-152112.415.1-2.7221.215.55.67
DeSagana Diop2424-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-3-6316.914.32.6516.415.70.75
Darius Miles3740-0.17-0.330.15-0.09-3-6315.914.31.6517.914.33.67
J.R. Bremer1818-0.22-0.280.06-0.16-2-7515.514.80.6820.614.75.89
Kevin Ollie4140-0.22-0.280.060.04-90-916.114.02.0815.915.80.03
Ricky Davis6361-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.03-8-1-714.715.5-0.8514.219.0-4.83
Chris Mihm4543-0.28-0.22-0.070.01-101-1114.215.6-1.3513.218.1-4.89
Jason Kapono6263-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.22-7-2-514.515.7-1.2216.115.40.68
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6867-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.02-145-1914.715.6-0.9215.117.7-2.54
LeBron James8482-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.31-6-3-314.816.1-1.2915.816.0-0.16

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim67690.450.050.410.1311-21314.818.5-3.6614.715.7-1.05
Jason Terry82830.430.070.360.2272515.915.9-0.0615.113.51.69
Boris Diaw50480.360.140.210.1863317.813.64.2016.113.82.28
Stephen Jackson57600.280.220.060.0190914.418.2-3.8114.116.5-2.43
Jacque Vaughn29290.260.240.02-0.0090914.216.6-2.4514.015.4-1.37
Nazr Mohammed27280.260.240.010.0572517.415.22.1816.214.41.86
Theo Ratliff66660.240.26-0.010.1927-515.217.4-2.1814.416.2-1.86
Chris Crawford14140.220.28-0.060.0172520.215.15.1318.314.43.92
Dion Glover4242-0.040.54-0.590.13-615-2114.616.9-2.3114.515.3-0.85
Lee Nailon1211-0.170.67-0.850.09-918-2716.515.80.7312.515.3-2.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 117, CLE 1240.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
OKC 92, POR 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
HOU 98, DEN 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.5%