NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	5.1 [775]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +9.2%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	1.6 [1040]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -10.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	72%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	16	41%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	20	69%	0.18	5	-0.09	11	64%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.06	13	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	18	44%	0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.6	28.1	15.4	29.4	2.4	33.3	133.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.8%

CLE -3.3%

IND +21.1%

IND +3.1%

IND +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	16.3	15.5	95.5	113.8	100.9
season	15.3	15.9		98.4	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		99.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.6	16.0	17.4	15.7	16.7
IND	16.7	16.8	13.9	17.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	55	54	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-22	29	16.5	16.9	-0.45	17.5	14.2	3.39
Robert Traylor	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-8	1	19.7	16.3	3.43	16.4	16.2	0.17
Matt Harpring	54	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-10	5	15.1	19.1	-3.91	17.4	14.4	2.95
Bimbo Coles	22	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-6	-3	19.3	15.8	3.55	16.9	16.0	0.82
Wesley Person	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-7	-1	16.1	17.8	-1.64	16.3	16.1	0.27
Jim Jackson	32	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-5	-5	16.9	16.5	0.34	16.7	16.0	0.71
Andre Miller	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-9	3	15.8	19.3	-3.55	16.0	16.9	-0.82
Clar. Weatherspoon	68	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-8	1	15.6	20.1	-4.52	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Lamond Murray	34	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-5	-5	19.1	15.1	3.91	14.4	17.4	-2.95
Chris Gatling	40	39	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.01	-20	5	-25	18.5	15.1	3.37	14.1	18.0	-3.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	64	67	0.78	-0.28	1.07	-0.13	31	-16	47	15.1	19.4	-4.33	16.7	16.5	0.18
Jalen Rose	83	85	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-2	19	16.3	15.2	1.05	16.8	13.3	3.44
Travis Best	32	33	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	1	13	13.9	17.6	-3.71	18.0	15.9	2.15
Al Harrington	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	6	3	16.1	17.2	-1.15	16.3	18.5	-2.19
Reggie Miller	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	6	3	15.9	18.3	-2.42	16.8	15.9	0.87
Jonathan Bender	7	9	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	12	-9	20.4	15.9	4.54	12.9	17.1	-4.20
Jermaine O'Neal	50	51	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	16	-17	17.7	14.3	3.36	16.7	16.6	0.02
Austin Croshere	30	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	10	-5	17.0	15.8	1.19	16.4	16.8	-0.42
Sam Perkins	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	20	-25	17.8	16.0	1.83	18.2	16.4	1.75
Zan Tabak	9	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	22	-29	20.8	15.7	5.05	14.4	16.9	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, VAN 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
GSW 84, SEA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 94, PHX 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.77,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%