inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 79 Excitement1.4 [809] MVPJohn Starks (NYK): +9.2%
New York Knicks 90 Comeback1.4 [695] LVPDavid Wesley (CHH): -17.6%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Reid0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00375%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Corey Beck-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.000100%0.031-0.042100%0.03
Matt Geiger-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.01-0.00425%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Mason-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.011252%-0.032-0.03757%-0.02
Vlade Divac-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.06-0.001154%0.012-0.08475%0.01
Dell Curry-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.011145%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Glen Rice-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.001341%-0.102-0.041182%-0.02
Bobby Phills-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.03-0.041020%-0.083-0.0600%0.00
David Wesley-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.15-0.05-0.021531%-0.093-0.092100%0.01

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Starks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.09-0.00-0.001666%0.111-0.02989%0.04
Charlie Ward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.015100%0.184-0.1300%0.00
Chris Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00283%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Buck Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pete Myers00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Herb Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Allan Houston0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.01-0.001145%0.023-0.0700%0.00
Chris Childs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0120%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Patrick Ewing0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.031445%-0.052-0.041070%-0.03
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.060.03861%-0.004-0.122100%0.01
Charles Oakley0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.011242%-0.035-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.432.416.225.52.329.7131.1
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +53.8%
CHH -0.4%
NYK +15.9%
CHH -17.9%
CHH -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHNYKNBACHHNYKNBA
this game14.615.615.683.293.8102.5
season15.715.7104.0100.4
opponent16.315.998.6102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH13.517.313.514.214.6
NYK14.213.417.817.115.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corey Beck13140.12-0.620.73-0.004-151919.413.85.5416.915.31.53
Matt Geiger1817-0.16-0.340.180.01-6-5-116.714.12.5515.415.6-0.24
J.R. Reid2221-0.21-0.290.08-0.00-7-4-316.014.21.8215.015.7-0.77
Anthony Mason7375-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.17-4-7314.216.0-1.8215.715.00.77
Vlade Divac7779-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.17-5-6114.116.7-2.5515.615.40.24
Dell Curry5352-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-9-2-713.915.5-1.5315.016.2-1.12
Glen Rice8889-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-7-4-314.417.0-2.5916.010.15.83
Bobby Phills4951-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.18-6-5-115.713.52.2215.315.8-0.47
David Wesley8282-0.620.12-0.73-0.18-154-1913.819.4-5.5415.316.9-1.53

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Oakley68690.61-0.110.710.1416-52115.016.8-1.7914.215.7-1.50
Chris Mills69690.500.000.500.0914-31715.914.61.3314.215.7-1.50
John Starks59570.440.060.380.15101915.216.2-1.0415.413.42.05
Patrick Ewing70700.350.150.210.0992715.416.0-0.6714.016.3-2.33
Charlie Ward64620.290.210.080.2038-516.014.71.3412.917.8-4.88
Chris Childs32330.210.29-0.08-0.0283514.716.0-1.3417.812.94.88
Chris Dudley27270.120.38-0.26-0.0356-115.115.7-0.5617.513.54.03
Allan Houston63630.110.39-0.280.11011-1115.615.50.0614.215.5-1.31
Herb Williams320.000.50-0.500.06-213-1520.715.45.284.514.8-10.32
Pete Myers11-0.030.53-0.550.03-213-1512.015.6-3.5924.014.59.50
Buck Williams2422-0.100.60-0.700.07-617-2317.414.92.4315.214.40.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 79, UTA 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.8%
SAC 113, UTA 1270.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,194.6%
NOH 97, DEN 1100.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%