NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	4.6 [879]		MVP	Channing Frye (POR): +11.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	1.4 [1027]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -11.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.02	-0.07	7	43%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.00	-0.06	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.05	12	71%	0.14	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	0.01	0.13	17	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	7	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	21%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	7	25%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.04	-0.03	10	57%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.09	2	-0.03	13	62%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.08	17	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	28.2	15.7	23.2	2.4	37.5	132.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +14.7%

POR +6.0%

POR +18.1%

POR +11.7%

MIN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	16.7	15.4	104.3	119.8	105.7
season	15.9	16.7		102.2	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		106.1	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.1	15.0	17.7	11.9	14.4
POR	20.1	17.0	16.6	13.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	31	28	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-10	9	12.5	15.4	-2.98	16.5	16.8	-0.27
Chris Richard	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-7	3	15.3	14.3	0.94	19.4	16.4	3.00
Corey Brewer	51	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-13	15	14.7	14.2	0.48	18.7	14.3	4.43
Craig Smith	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-6	1	15.2	13.4	1.81	18.5	13.9	4.60
Marko Jaric	36	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-4	-3	13.5	15.0	-1.53	16.5	16.8	-0.31
Antoine Walker	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-2	-7	15.0	14.1	0.97	16.1	17.2	-1.13
Sebastian Telfair	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-7	3	15.0	13.5	1.53	16.8	16.5	0.31
Rashad McCants	53	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-6	1	13.8	15.3	-1.59	14.4	19.7	-5.26
Ryan Gomes	69	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	-1	-9	14.6	14.0	0.55	15.9	19.0	-3.09
Al Jefferson	67	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	1	-13	14.5	14.3	0.26	16.3	17.7	-1.41

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	60	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	0	11	15.0	20.1	-5.06	13.8	15.7	-1.88
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.00	15	-4	19	17.1	16.0	1.08	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Brandon Roy	64	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	3	5	16.6	17.0	-0.44	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Channing Frye	37	37	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	4	3	16.2	17.1	-0.81	16.0	13.4	2.56
Travis Outlaw	48	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	6	-1	13.8	20.0	-6.21	13.2	16.0	-2.81
James Jones	51	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	6	-1	15.4	18.4	-3.08	13.1	16.3	-3.27
Steve Blake	47	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	1	9	18.8	14.5	4.26	15.6	13.3	2.32
Martell Webster	40	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	5	1	18.4	15.4	3.08	16.3	13.1	3.27
Joel Przybilla	36	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	16	-21	20.5	14.2	6.29	15.0	14.1	0.84
Sergio Rodriguez	11	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	18	-25	18.1	16.5	1.55	13.5	14.6	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
TOR 80, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
LAL 91, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%