NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	8.5 [168]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +47.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	2.4 [327]		LVP	Devin Harris (DAL): -20.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.21,0.4,0.4,0.48	0.14	0.39	0.04	15	66%	0.48	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.14	0.02	21	55%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	14	59%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Brandon Bass	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	60%	0.14	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	4	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	6	17%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	0.00	8	37%	-0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.39	0.39	0.17	0.25	0.04	11	73%	0.44	2	-0.05	15	80%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.02	0.24	-0.00	14	63%	0.39	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.07
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.14	-0.00	12	52%	0.18	0	0.00	7	57%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.11	0.00	4	80%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	33.3	15.6	26.2	1.6	37.8	140.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -4.4%

MIL +48.8%

MIL +24.7%

DAL -12.0%

DAL -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	17.4	15.7	15.4	109.2	111.5	105.7
season	16.1	15.8		108.9	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		110.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	19.6	13.5	22.8	15.1	17.4
MIL	16.4	16.5	14.3	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	45	43	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.06	5	-7	12	17.6	17.1	0.50	17.3	14.2	3.12
DeSagana Diop	46	44	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-8	14	17.9	16.9	1.04	16.0	15.4	0.65
Juwan Howard	26	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-5	8	15.1	18.4	-3.26	15.8	15.6	0.21
Erick Dampier	6	8	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	4	-10	18.7	17.3	1.36	12.1	16.1	-3.94
Brandon Bass	31	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	4	-10	18.2	16.9	1.28	15.8	15.7	0.11
Josh Howard	72	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.47	6	-8	14	17.7	16.2	1.45	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Dirk Nowitzki	60	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	17.6	17.0	0.53	15.7	15.7	0.07
Jerry Stackhouse	38	38	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	6	-14	17.7	17.2	0.50	15.6	15.8	-0.17
Devin Harris	65	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	0	-2	16.9	18.9	-2.02	15.7	15.7	-0.03
Jason Terry	46	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	5	-12	17.1	17.7	-0.58	14.5	17.1	-2.54

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	55	53	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-6	14	15.5	16.1	-0.67	16.2	19.4	-3.20
Mo Williams	72	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	-2	6	15.6	16.4	-0.84	18.2	13.5	4.68
Dan Gadzuric	14	14	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-9	20	16.4	15.6	0.87	17.0	17.5	-0.48
Charlie Villanueva	31	30	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-8	18	15.5	15.8	-0.39	18.6	16.8	1.88
Charlie Bell	28	28	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	-4	10	16.8	15.2	1.65	14.5	18.8	-4.28
Michael Redd	59	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	6	-10	15.2	16.8	-1.65	18.8	14.5	4.28
Yi Jianlian	59	60	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.34	-7	9	-16	15.6	15.8	-0.18	16.4	19.6	-3.18
Andrew Bogut	70	70	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.37	-10	12	-22	15.7	15.6	0.07	17.8	15.8	2.04
Desmond Mason	27	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	4	-6	15.7	15.7	-0.05	20.9	15.8	5.09
Royal Ivey	20	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	8	-14	16.9	15.3	1.62	13.2	18.7	-5.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 74, NYK 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.69,1	92.4%
POR 117, LAC 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.69,0.92,1	91.5%
DET 81, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.83,1	90.8%