inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 74 Excitement7.9 [233] MVPMarcus Camby (NYK): +8.2%
New York Knicks 76 Comeback2.1 [586] LVPLatrell Sprewell (NYK): -39.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Grant0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0,0-0.030.02-0.01754%0.031-0.031070%0.01
Dan Majerle-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00736%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.030.021050%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
A.C. Green-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.060.00650%-0.023-0.1000%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.10-0.14-0.031339%0.023-0.222100%0.01
Tim Hardaway-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.2-0.03-0.170.001250%-0.113-0.1000%0.00
Anthony Mason-0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28-0.02-0.250.011357%-0.123-0.15475%-0.02

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.01687%0.211-0.133100%0.02
Chris Childs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.001100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00650%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Glen Rice0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00856%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Larry Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.06-0.001158%0.042-0.082100%0.01
Allan Houston0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.120.04-0.021434%-0.041-0.02786%0.04
Charlie Ward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.00330%-0.101-0.02475%-0.02
Latrell Sprewell0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.15,-0.4-0.40-0.12-0.280.001945%-0.076-0.3300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.831.019.824.82.838.2140.7
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +37.6%
NYK +12.1%
MIA -3.1%
MIA -3.9%
NYK +7.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game16.817.115.587.189.4100.9
season16.316.498.499.2
opponent16.116.196.696.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.616.116.516.816.8
NYK16.715.917.818.317.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
A.C. Green4645-0.10-0.400.31-0.04-20-217.316.11.3017.217.00.15
Bruce Bowen7573-0.10-0.400.31-0.214-61016.717.3-0.6217.216.70.44
Anthony Carter3231-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-3415.717.4-1.7116.217.7-1.47
Brian Grant4647-0.22-0.280.05-0.375-71216.217.4-1.2116.717.7-1.05
Dan Majerle3537-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.27-42-615.917.3-1.3815.518.4-2.96
Tim Hardaway5354-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.36-1-1017.415.71.7117.716.21.47
Eddie Jones6161-0.540.04-0.58-0.37-64-1017.016.01.0517.915.22.68
Anthony Mason7777-0.640.14-0.79-0.44-75-1216.915.01.9417.513.44.14

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Childs46440.62-0.120.750.5620216.218.2-2.0416.117.4-1.33
Larry Johnson64640.53-0.030.560.385-3817.715.32.3917.414.82.64
Allan Houston61620.460.040.420.4311017.815.42.4417.016.00.97
Latrell Sprewell65660.430.070.360.285-3817.117.1-0.0316.716.9-0.25
Marcus Camby66630.320.180.140.35-13-417.316.50.7816.916.20.71
Kurt Thomas39400.120.38-0.270.14-13-416.218.0-1.8016.317.1-0.81
Glen Rice44430.090.41-0.330.14-24-616.218.1-1.9616.317.2-0.91
Charlie Ward4043-0.060.56-0.62-0.0911017.916.41.5016.716.8-0.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.69,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 95, MIL 970.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.73,192.4%
ORL 98, TOR 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.84,192.2%
TOR 74, DET 820.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.92,192.2%