NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	4.8 [836]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +13.6%
New Orleans Hornets	93		Comeback	2.0 [203]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -14.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	16	59%	0.16	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Danny Granger	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	17	63%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	59%	0.07	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	16	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	-0.04	17	49%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.03	0.02	17	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	15	53%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	12	30%	-0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.8	28.5	15.8	23.4	2.5	25.6	122.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.9%

NOH -2.5%

IND +5.8%

IND +3.1%

NOH -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOH	NBA	IND	NOH	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.4	115.4	100.0	105.7
season	13.8	15.9		104.5	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	13.6	12.9	19.8	15.0
NOH	14.8	15.8	17.6	17.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	63	66	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-2	16	15.7	13.4	2.34	16.8	15.2	1.59
David Harrison	45	47	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.12	17	-5	22	13.8	16.1	-2.29	15.9	16.7	-0.80
Jeff Foster	68	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	10	-8	15.1	14.6	0.55	16.4	16.2	0.20
Jamaal Tinsley	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	3	6	15.4	13.4	2.03	16.9	14.4	2.49
Mike Dunleavy	70	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	5	2	15.0	14.9	0.16	17.0	14.6	2.40
Troy Murphy	69	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	7	-2	15.6	13.0	2.55	16.5	15.7	0.88
Shawne Williams	30	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	6	0	14.5	15.2	-0.71	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Marquis Daniels	25	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	8	-4	12.8	15.8	-2.95	14.6	17.0	-2.35
Kareem Rush	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	16	-20	14.2	15.1	-0.96	13.4	16.8	-3.40

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	46	44	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-18	24	15.9	16.7	-0.88	15.4	14.6	0.75
Rasual Butler	24	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-8	4	14.7	16.9	-2.16	15.7	14.7	0.99
Ryan Bowen	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-2	-8	14.5	17.0	-2.46	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Bobby Jackson	39	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-5	-2	15.6	16.8	-1.20	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Jannero Pargo	25	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-5	-2	15.9	16.5	-0.54	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Chris Paul	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-7	2	16.5	15.9	0.54	15.1	14.5	0.59
Morris Peterson	54	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-7	2	16.8	15.6	1.20	15.6	14.1	1.50
David West	67	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-10	8	17.0	14.5	2.46	15.1	14.7	0.41
Peja Stojakovic	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-4	-4	16.9	14.7	2.16	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Hilton Armstrong	47	47	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	6	-24	16.7	15.9	0.88	14.6	15.4	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MIN 102, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHI 77, NOH 62	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%