NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	4.8 [859]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +12.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	2.0 [776]		LVP	Darius Miles (CLE): -13.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.00	0.08	-0.05	17	63%	0.17	5	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.05	12	67%	0.13	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Igor Rakocevic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	9	50%	-0.03	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	55%	-0.01	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.05	20	59%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	67%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	13	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	10	23%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.6	30.0	14.8	21.3	1.6	32.0	126.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +42.8%

MIN +2.9%

MIN +0.4%

MIN +10.7%

CLE -6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	13.8	15.6	15.5	103.0	93.8	101.6
season	14.9	15.1		104.0	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.8		104.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	15.0	12.0	15.1	13.8
CLE	16.1	17.0	17.0	12.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-1	13	13.6	14.7	-1.14	15.9	14.2	1.68
Kendall Gill	68	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-3	17	13.8	13.8	0.02	14.6	17.6	-2.99
Troy Hudson	81	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	4	3	13.8	13.8	-0.02	15.7	14.9	0.78
Wally Szczerbiak	76	76	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	8	-5	13.6	14.6	-0.97	15.4	16.3	-0.89
Marc Jackson	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	-2	15	13.6	13.9	-0.31	17.3	14.6	2.73
Rasho Nesterovic	61	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	11	-11	14.0	13.6	0.35	14.6	17.3	-2.73
Igor Rakocevic	18	16	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	7	-3	13.8	13.8	0.02	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Anthony Peeler	47	46	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	9	-7	14.4	13.2	1.20	16.9	14.4	2.44
Gary Trent	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	7	-3	14.0	13.7	0.30	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Mike Wilks	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	13.0	13.8	-0.83	0.0	15.6	-15.59
Loren Woods	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	13.0	13.8	-0.83	0.0	15.6	-15.59

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	10	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-10	9	16.2	15.5	0.68	10.9	14.2	-3.27
Milt Palacio	51	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-21	31	14.5	16.7	-2.19	13.6	14.0	-0.39
DeSagana Diop	12	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-3	-5	15.5	15.6	-0.10	14.9	13.7	1.27
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-9	7	15.7	15.3	0.40	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Darius Miles	61	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-12	13	16.0	14.9	1.11	13.4	14.6	-1.20
Bimbo Coles	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.17	-14	3	-17	16.4	15.2	1.17	13.1	14.2	-1.12
Chris Mihm	27	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	0	-11	17.1	15.0	2.16	15.3	13.3	2.03
Dajuan Wagner	35	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	2	-15	17.0	14.8	2.16	14.0	13.7	0.29
Jumaine Jones	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	14.4	17.1	-2.66	13.9	13.7	0.20
Carlos Boozer	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-6	1	15.3	16.2	-0.88	13.9	13.7	0.20
Ricky Davis	76	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-6	1	15.3	16.6	-1.26	14.2	12.6	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
CHI 94, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
IND 105, NOH 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%