NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	3.8 [1009]		MVP	Dennis Rodman (CHI): +3.7%
Charlotte Hornets	80		Comeback	1.9 [304]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -8.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Rodman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	12	61%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Scott Burrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.01	9	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.02	1	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	31	48%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	9	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	52%	0.01	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	17	38%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	26.0	20.7	28.2	2.5	30.5	133.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.9%

CHI +6.6%

CHI +7.8%

CHI +11.6%

CHH -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHH	NBA	CHI	CHH	NBA
this game	16.3	17.4	15.6	109.3	94.1	102.5
season	16.2	15.7		105.8	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		102.6	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.0	15.1	14.6	18.7	16.3
CHH	17.2	18.5	17.5	16.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	73	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.10	23	-9	32	15.3	21.5	-6.12	18.0	14.0	4.04
Michael Jordan	70	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	-8	30	16.2	16.5	-0.29	18.0	14.9	3.06
Scottie Pippen	68	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-2	18	15.5	19.0	-3.46	18.0	15.0	2.99
Luc Longley	50	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	3	8	16.4	16.0	0.41	17.9	16.7	1.21
Steve Kerr	47	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	1	12	16.6	15.9	0.72	19.0	15.5	3.48
Ron Harper	34	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	15	-16	16.2	16.3	-0.05	16.6	17.9	-1.33
Toni Kukoc	43	42	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	11	-8	17.1	15.4	1.74	17.5	17.4	0.06
Bill Wennington	4	3	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	12	-10	18.2	16.2	2.08	16.0	17.5	-1.48
Randy Brown	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	18	-22	13.6	16.5	-2.91	10.1	18.2	-8.06
Dickey Simpkins	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	19.4	15.9	3.43	11.6	18.1	-6.56
Jud Buechler	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	19.4	15.9	3.43	11.4	18.1	-6.68
Scott Burrell	17	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	17.6	15.9	1.72	15.4	17.9	-2.45

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-14	14	18.7	17.3	1.41	21.1	15.8	5.36
Corey Beck	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	8.6	18.0	-9.38	21.0	16.0	5.02
Travis Williams	10	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-15	16	13.9	17.9	-3.99	17.4	16.1	1.31
J.R. Reid	21	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-16	18	16.9	17.6	-0.69	18.8	15.4	3.37
Dell Curry	30	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-14	14	16.0	18.2	-2.15	15.6	16.6	-0.97
B.J. Armstrong	44	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-8	2	17.5	17.3	0.21	17.3	15.1	2.19
David Wesley	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	17.3	17.5	-0.21	15.1	17.3	-2.19
Bobby Phills	49	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-4	-6	18.2	16.4	1.75	16.8	15.5	1.37
Vlade Divac	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-1	-12	17.5	17.1	0.40	15.5	18.2	-2.75
Glen Rice	80	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	5	-24	18.0	8.6	9.38	16.0	21.0	-5.02
Anthony Mason	76	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.08	-22	8	-30	17.9	13.4	4.45	15.4	22.9	-7.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
BKN 115, WAS 104	0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
BOS 117, ORL 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%