NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	117		Excitement	4.2 [962]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +17.6%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	2.0 [782]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -12.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.02	-0.03	14	66%	0.18	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	13	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	81%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.01	0.06	10	68%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	68%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	7	73%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jordan Mickey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Demetrius Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.06	8	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.01	0.01	7	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
CJ Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	1	125%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	9	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	14	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	14	40%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	29.8	14.8	28.2	2.6	30.4	133.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.9%

BOS +16.8%

BOS +2.7%

BOS +7.9%

ORL -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	14.8	127.2	95.6	107.7
season	14.7	14.6		110.1	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.9		109.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.0	14.7	15.1	15.8	15.6
ORL	15.7	16.0	17.6	14.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	62	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.21	24	6	18	15.4	16.1	-0.71	16.0	15.6	0.43
Al Horford	55	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.43	31	-1	32	15.0	16.5	-1.50	16.8	14.4	2.34
Marcus Smart	42	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	11	8	15.0	16.2	-1.23	17.9	14.1	3.76
Jae Crowder	57	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.39	26	4	22	15.3	16.1	-0.84	16.7	14.6	2.09
Jonas Jerebko	27	26	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	15	0	15.0	15.9	-0.82	16.2	15.7	0.42
Jaylen Brown	43	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	23	-16	16.3	15.0	1.33	14.3	17.3	-3.01
Terry Rozier	51	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.28	13	17	-4	15.9	15.2	0.72	14.7	17.3	-2.66
Kelly Olynyk	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.32	14	16	-2	16.0	15.3	0.72	13.9	17.4	-3.45
Amir Johnson	43	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	34	-38	16.1	15.2	0.93	16.7	15.0	1.65
Tyler Zeller	15	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	28	-26	16.0	15.5	0.45	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Jordan Mickey	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	17.0	15.6	1.44	13.0	16.0	-2.95
Demetrius Jackson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	17.0	15.6	1.44	13.0	16.0	-2.95
Gerald Green	17	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	31	-32	16.1	15.5	0.61	15.7	15.9	-0.15

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Wilcox	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-25	20	12.6	16.2	-3.54	16.5	15.5	0.96
CJ Watson	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-25	20	12.6	16.2	-3.54	16.5	15.5	0.96
Mario Hezonja	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-22	14	12.7	16.2	-3.55	16.4	15.5	0.88
Damjan Rudez	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-22	14	12.7	16.2	-3.55	16.4	15.5	0.88
Jodie Meeks	31	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-32	34	15.5	16.0	-0.52	16.0	15.4	0.53
Aaron Gordon	47	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.43	-20	-10	-10	16.2	15.5	0.74	15.8	15.4	0.33
Elfrid Payton	54	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-15	0	14.7	17.6	-2.88	15.3	16.1	-0.86
Nikola Vucevic	51	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-23	16	15.5	16.3	-0.79	15.7	15.4	0.30
Bismack Biyombo	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-17	4	17.3	14.1	3.23	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Jeff Green	44	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-20	10	15.5	16.2	-0.74	15.4	15.8	-0.33
D.J. Augustin	44	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.26	-21	-9	-12	17.3	14.5	2.74	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Evan Fournier	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-13	-4	15.9	15.8	0.17	15.6	15.6	0.07
Serge Ibaka	45	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.25	-23	-7	-16	17.4	14.4	2.96	15.2	16.1	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 115, WAS 104	0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CHI 94, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAS 116, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%