NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	115		Excitement	5.1 [829]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): +18.2%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	1.6 [296]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -11.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.01	-0.01	13	71%	0.20	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.03	-0.04	16	57%	0.13	4	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	53%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dzanan Musa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	6	90%	0.15	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	-0.06	0.05	13	69%	0.09	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.03
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	19	48%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	19	38%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	24.6	14.4	32.4	2.4	40.3	139.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +19.6%

BKN +6.8%

BKN +10.7%

BKN +13.5%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	WAS	NBA	BKN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	12.5	14.3	111.7	102.0	109.3
season	14.3	13.8		108.6	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.0		112.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.1	15.6	13.9	20.0	15.5
WAS	12.6	13.2	12.7	11.3	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	71	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-2	15	14.8	16.9	-2.15	12.4	12.7	-0.23
Joe Harris	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	0	11	15.8	15.0	0.81	12.3	12.7	-0.37
D'Angelo Russell	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	5	1	15.7	15.0	0.73	12.6	12.3	0.34
Allen Crabbe	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	2	7	14.3	16.5	-2.21	12.3	12.7	-0.36
Jared Dudley	50	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	7	-3	14.5	16.4	-1.86	12.1	12.9	-0.88
DeMarre Carroll	51	49	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	4	3	15.7	15.2	0.46	13.2	11.8	1.43
Spencer Dinwiddie	66	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	5	1	16.0	14.5	1.56	12.0	13.4	-1.33
Rodions Kurucs	44	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	10	-9	16.2	14.9	1.35	12.9	12.2	0.61
Shabazz Napier	38	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	11	-11	15.8	15.3	0.53	12.8	12.3	0.53
Ed Davis	30	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	13	-15	15.8	15.3	0.53	13.1	12.2	0.90
Dzanan Musa	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	22.0	15.4	6.61	5.5	12.6	-7.14

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	5.5	12.6	-7.14	33.5	15.1	18.40
Tomas Satoransky	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-9	7	13.1	12.3	0.76	15.4	15.5	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	23	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-7	3	14.2	12.0	2.16	13.3	16.0	-2.73
Jeff Green	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-12	13	11.8	13.1	-1.32	17.2	14.0	3.20
Kelly Oubre Jr.	56	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-13	15	12.1	13.0	-0.87	17.2	13.3	3.85
Austin Rivers	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-3	-5	14.2	11.9	2.27	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Dwight Howard	58	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-3	-5	12.7	12.2	0.48	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Markieff Morris	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	2	-15	13.0	12.1	0.87	13.3	17.2	-3.85
Otto Porter Jr.	63	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-6	1	12.2	13.0	-0.81	15.6	15.2	0.39
Bradley Beal	82	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	12.3	13.5	-1.24	15.4	15.7	-0.36
John Wall	83	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	0	-11	12.2	13.6	-1.39	15.2	16.4	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 117, ORL 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CHI 94, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
BOS 101, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%