NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	4.5 [881]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAC): +17.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	84		Comeback	2.0 [331]		LVP	Devean George (LAL): -11.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.02	-0.02	7	106%	0.18	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	23	49%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	60%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Art Long	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.02	0.04	20	51%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Scot Pollard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.04	-0.06	25	56%	0.07	4	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	46%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	14	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	-0.07	13	28%	-0.09	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	28.6	19.8	26.8	2.8	27.6	135.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.2%

SAC +11.0%

LAL -1.9%

SAC +4.8%

SAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	16.6	15.5	111.3	89.4	100.9
season	14.4	15.6		103.1	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.8	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.5	14.7	14.3	14.6	13.6
LAL	13.4	19.6	17.8	16.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	81	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.21	23	1	22	13.2	15.7	-2.51	16.3	18.3	-1.96
Chris Webber	79	76	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.11	19	5	14	13.9	12.2	1.68	16.4	17.6	-1.16
Jason Williams	60	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	13	-2	12.6	15.2	-2.68	15.8	17.7	-1.88
Doug Christie	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	8	8	14.2	11.8	2.35	16.4	17.5	-1.09
Hedo Turkoglu	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.21	16	8	8	15.2	12.4	2.78	17.4	16.0	1.46
Vlade Divac	61	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	15	-6	12.2	16.0	-3.84	15.9	17.6	-1.70
Scot Pollard	25	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	10	4	17.0	12.4	4.60	18.3	16.0	2.30
Bobby Jackson	37	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.24	13	11	2	15.2	12.6	2.68	17.7	15.8	1.88
Art Long	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	8.6	13.9	-5.26	19.0	16.5	2.49
Jon Barry	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	10.5	13.9	-3.37	17.1	16.6	0.57
Lawrence Funderburke	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	10.5	13.9	-3.37	17.1	16.6	0.57
Darrick Martin	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	10.5	13.9	-3.37	17.1	16.6	0.57

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	17.6	16.5	1.11	14.4	13.5	0.95
Greg Foster	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.20	-8	-16	8	18.0	16.4	1.62	17.2	13.0	4.24
Isaiah Rider	28	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-23	22	16.8	16.5	0.29	13.9	13.4	0.49
Brian Shaw	38	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.18	-9	-15	6	15.1	17.7	-2.63	14.3	13.1	1.25
Derek Fisher	68	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-12	0	15.9	18.6	-2.76	13.9	12.7	1.22
Robert Horry	35	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-10	-4	18.4	15.6	2.80	12.7	14.0	-1.25
Horace Grant	55	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-16	8	15.6	18.1	-2.45	13.7	13.4	0.25
Mike Penberthy	27	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-12	0	18.1	16.0	2.15	12.2	14.1	-1.91
Rick Fox	76	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-9	-6	15.9	19.6	-3.63	13.8	12.8	0.99
Shaquille O'Neal	69	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	-2	-20	16.8	16.2	0.51	13.0	15.4	-2.44
Devean George	48	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	-7	-10	18.1	15.1	3.04	12.9	14.3	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SEA 104, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
CHI 94, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%