inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 97 Excitement6.2 [535] MVPMartell Webster (POR): +22.3%
San Antonio Spurs 106 Comeback1.2 [1266] LVPBrandon Roy (POR): -15.1%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Martell Webster0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.140.090.021570%0.2200.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0.180,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.180.150.040.011966%0.201-0.023100%0.02
Joel Przybilla0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.02581%0.082-0.06683%0.01
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Steve Blake-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.04-0.02764%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Travis Outlaw-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.001046%-0.012-0.05475%0.01
Jarrett Jack-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00642%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Channing Frye-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Brandon Roy-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.031029%-0.074-0.08450%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.060.031565%0.1600.00757%-0.04
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.03-0.01871%0.1200.001100%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.050.011153%0.092-0.05887%0.02
Darius Washington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.03-0.00175%0.051-0.0220%-0.05
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00475%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.020.00944%0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.011141%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.010.031456%0.083-0.09683%0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.01945%-0.001-0.03250%-0.02
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.0250%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.731.019.030.02.835.8149.5
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +10.2%
POR -3.4%
SAS +15.2%
SAS +20.0%
SAS +8.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORSASNBAPORSASNBA
this game14.616.415.4104.3114.0105.7
season16.716.5105.5104.7
opponent15.315.4100.5106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR14.514.015.714.114.6
SAS13.717.316.318.616.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sergio Rodriguez1414-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-8710.115.4-5.3215.316.6-1.28
Jarrett Jack5150-0.07-0.430.37-0.153-121515.813.22.6017.515.12.39
James Jones1716-0.07-0.430.350.04-4-5111.215.3-4.1115.016.7-1.66
LaMarcus Aldridge6768-0.16-0.340.19-0.160-9915.412.52.8516.516.00.57
Travis Outlaw4140-0.22-0.280.06-0.13-3-6312.816.0-3.2016.216.5-0.35
Joel Przybilla5959-0.25-0.250.00-0.16-3-6315.712.63.1116.416.4-0.01
Channing Frye2019-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-112-1312.815.1-2.2216.316.4-0.14
Brandon Roy7173-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.18-8-1-715.511.63.9316.216.9-0.73
Steve Blake5151-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.16-101-1113.416.0-2.6115.717.2-1.57
Martell Webster7475-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.23-8-1-715.212.42.7916.814.72.05

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner38390.480.020.470.1910-11115.916.7-0.7313.215.6-2.34
Bruce Bowen49480.350.150.200.1472516.716.10.5816.612.54.07
Brent Barry35380.300.200.090.1263315.716.8-1.0612.216.2-3.98
Tim Duncan69670.290.210.070.1454116.316.7-0.3915.412.43.01
Darius Washington27280.250.250.000.0281715.116.9-1.7812.415.5-3.15
Tony Parker66650.250.25-0.000.2218-716.915.11.7815.512.43.15
Fabricio Oberto34360.230.27-0.040.0563316.716.20.5216.513.43.11
Michael Finley44420.190.31-0.120.0454117.215.71.5315.813.62.26
Manu Ginobili58580.170.33-0.170.20-110-1115.917.1-1.1813.616.2-2.63
Ian Mahinmi230.050.45-0.41-0.0127-517.016.40.648.714.8-6.12
Francisco Elson4341-0.050.55-0.590.07-413-1716.616.20.4713.315.6-2.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 91, SAS 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%
BKN 84, MIA 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.92,194.1%
PHX 95, MIN 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.82,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.92,1,1,1,193.9%