NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	5.9 [617]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +12.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	1.2 [1109]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -14.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	20	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	14	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	16	66%	0.09	8	-0.16	6	83%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	21	37%	-0.12	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	18	67%	0.14	1	-0.01	12	100%	0.04
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	7	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	73%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.02	13	62%	0.02	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	15	61%	0.04	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.8	31.2	15.5	24.1	1.8	29.0	131.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +52.2%

PHX -0.6%

MIN +12.1%

PHX -11.6%

PHX -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	15.7	99.0	113.4	100.5
season	14.6	15.6		99.6	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.9		98.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.2	15.1	15.7	16.0	15.5
MIN	12.5	11.5	17.0	17.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	22	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-18	21	17.9	14.7	3.17	13.8	14.6	-0.73
Zarko Cabarkapa	9	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-12	9	14.1	15.6	-1.50	12.2	14.6	-2.38
Leandro Barbosa	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-13	11	15.3	15.6	-0.32	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Casey Jacobsen	42	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-6	-3	15.0	15.8	-0.75	15.0	13.9	1.05
Howard Eisley	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-10	5	15.5	15.4	0.14	15.5	12.8	2.65
Jake Voskuhl	76	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-5	-5	15.2	16.6	-1.43	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Joe Johnson	85	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	2	-19	15.1	18.5	-3.47	14.0	17.0	-2.95
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-1	-13	15.6	15.1	0.50	14.5	14.2	0.30
Shawn Marion	86	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	3	-21	15.8	12.8	2.98	14.5	13.3	1.25

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	86	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.03	23	-8	31	13.7	19.7	-6.03	15.5	15.0	0.54
Trenton Hassell	73	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.06	18	-3	21	14.3	14.5	-0.21	15.2	16.2	-1.04
Sam Cassell	63	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	0	15	14.3	14.4	-0.09	14.8	16.7	-1.87
Latrell Sprewell	80	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	6	3	14.8	12.2	2.67	15.4	15.7	-0.24
Mark Madsen	43	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	5	5	13.8	14.8	-1.02	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Fred Hoiberg	41	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	12	-9	13.6	15.0	-1.42	16.0	15.1	0.94
Troy Hudson	34	35	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	15	-15	14.4	14.3	0.09	16.7	14.8	1.87
Oliver Miller	17	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	14	-13	13.9	14.5	-0.53	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Ervin Johnson	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	13	-11	15.3	14.0	1.22	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Gary Trent	21	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	21	-27	17.6	13.5	4.07	17.4	14.9	2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.82,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.92,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.99,1	93.9%
NOH 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
MIL 73, UTA 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%