NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	84		Excitement	6.0 [617]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +23.3%
Miami Heat	88		Comeback	1.0 [592]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -15.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	6	80%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	15	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Alan Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	22	41%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.11	0.02	16	68%	0.27	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	73%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	1	87%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	20	51%	0.09	5	-0.10	9	78%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mario Chalmers	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.8	30.3	15.4	24.6	2.6	37.1	140.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.8%

MIA +10.2%

BKN -0.7%

BKN -8.0%

MIA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.1	95.5	100.0	104.2
season	15.3	16.0		102.9	102.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.2	14.8	17.9	17.1	16.6
MIA	14.9	15.3	18.1	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	13	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-3	2	16.3	16.7	-0.37	16.8	16.0	0.84
Alan Anderson	43	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.46	11	-15	26	15.3	17.9	-2.63	16.8	15.4	1.34
Kevin Garnett	34	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	4	-12	18.5	15.4	3.10	15.4	16.5	-1.14
Jarrett Jack	48	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	1	-6	16.8	16.4	0.41	15.0	17.3	-2.22
Mason Plumlee	42	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	5	-14	17.9	15.4	2.49	15.3	16.8	-1.47
Brook Lopez	46	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-9	14	15.4	17.9	-2.49	16.8	15.3	1.47
Deron Williams	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-5	6	16.2	17.0	-0.78	17.4	14.6	2.79
Mirza Teletovic	54	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-8	12	15.4	18.5	-3.10	16.5	15.4	1.14
Sergey Karasev	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	9	-22	18.3	15.2	3.02	15.0	17.0	-1.93
Joe Johnson	75	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	1	-6	16.7	16.3	0.37	16.0	16.8	-0.84

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	72	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-3	10	16.4	14.6	1.81	16.8	15.9	0.85
Dwyane Wade	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	2	0	15.7	17.0	-1.24	17.0	15.8	1.16
Luol Deng	43	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	-5	14	15.5	16.6	-1.11	17.9	15.2	2.65
Chris Andersen	39	39	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	1	2	15.4	16.7	-1.29	17.2	16.2	0.95
Mario Chalmers	51	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	1	2	15.7	16.6	-0.85	16.3	17.1	-0.76
Danny Granger	58	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	9	-14	15.9	16.5	-0.65	15.7	18.4	-2.72
Norris Cole	37	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	1	2	16.6	15.7	0.85	17.1	16.3	0.76
Hassan Whiteside	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	5	-6	16.7	15.4	1.29	16.2	17.2	-0.95
James Ennis	30	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	5	-6	17.3	15.5	1.87	15.3	17.2	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
POR 88, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NOP 84, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%