NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	111		Excitement	7.8 [300]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +44.8%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.7 [399]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -14.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.29	0.16	0.00	9	109%	0.45	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	25	58%	0.30	4	-0.08	10	80%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	69%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0.04	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Hassan Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.00	12	65%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	8	81%	0.21	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.10	0.08	9	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.08
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	15	54%	0.10	3	-0.11	7	86%	0.04
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.09	0.04	10	50%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	29.3	20.6	26.1	2.7	34.6	141.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.3%

NJN +3.3%

IND -8.1%

NJN +6.7%

NJN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.4	116.8	115.1	104.5
season	15.4	15.3		103.1	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.7	17.0	16.6	15.3	15.6
IND	13.5	13.6	18.6	15.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	71	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-5	14	15.1	17.0	-1.93	15.3	14.5	0.83
Bostjan Nachbar	58	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-4	12	15.7	15.3	0.43	14.6	15.9	-1.36
Mikki Moore	47	48	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	-13	30	16.2	14.9	1.34	16.3	13.8	2.47
Richard Jefferson	65	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-1	6	15.7	15.3	0.33	15.4	14.5	0.92
Vince Carter	81	79	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.32	-2	6	-8	15.5	15.9	-0.35	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Josh Boone	22	21	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	-3	10	13.7	16.1	-2.44	15.8	14.9	0.89
Jason Collins	47	45	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	2	0	15.0	16.1	-1.10	16.0	14.2	1.79
Antoine Wright	41	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.38	-10	14	-24	15.0	16.0	-0.98	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Marcus Williams	25	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	16.6	15.2	1.47	13.8	15.6	-1.81
Clifford Robinson	18	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	15	-26	18.6	14.9	3.70	12.4	15.7	-3.26

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-3	2	14.8	15.2	-0.34	14.9	15.8	-0.84
Jamaal Tinsley	48	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-5	6	14.6	15.6	-0.93	15.5	15.6	-0.04
Jeff Foster	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	7	-18	16.4	14.2	2.23	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Mike Dunleavy	68	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-5	6	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.9	17.6	-2.70
Troy Murphy	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-7	10	14.7	15.7	-0.98	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Jermaine O'Neal	66	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.42	2	-6	8	14.9	15.5	-0.57	16.4	13.4	2.94
Danny Granger	62	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-1	-2	15.2	14.8	0.40	16.5	13.8	2.68
Darrell Armstrong	46	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	2	-8	15.3	14.9	0.41	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Shawne Williams	56	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	2	-8	15.1	15.1	0.04	15.4	15.8	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.38,0.06,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 100, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	92.4%
ORL 109, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.01,0.01,0	91.8%
LAC 96, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.04,0.01,0,0	91.6%