inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 100 Excitement8.2 [227] MVPBob Sura (CLE): +13.7%
Denver Nuggets 92 Comeback2.4 [195] LVPRaef LaFrentz (DEN): -19.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bob Sura0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.09-0.01772%0.182-0.05475%-0.02
Earl Boykins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.00362%0.051-0.04250%-0.01
Danny Ferry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00560%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Andre Miller0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0,0-0.040.03-0.011254%0.183-0.17475%-0.00
Lari Ketner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01440%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Shawn Kemp-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.001058%0.052-0.084100%0.02
Donny Marshall-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Wesley Person-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.001338%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Mark Bryant-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.01660%0.043-0.10333%-0.04
Lamond Murray-0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.001647%-0.072-0.041182%0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.060.06-0.000.04-0.021150%0.111-0.042100%0.01
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.060.06-0.000.05-0.011856%0.184-0.1200%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.00950%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01420%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.031057%0.064-0.13875%-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.00520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.01520%-0.072-0.0700%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.090.001050%-0.032-0.11450%-0.02
Raef LaFrentz0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.10-0.090.002036%-0.1900.00540%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.71.732.015.522.91.733.2131.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +43.4%
CLE +10.9%
DEN -8.8%
DEN -1.0%
CLE +5.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDENNBACLEDENNBA
this game14.715.315.2102.097.9101.7
season14.114.898.0101.5
opponent15.015.3103.7101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE14.215.014.914.714.7
DEN14.615.014.517.415.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bob Sura57550.52-0.020.540.3171614.614.8-0.1515.115.6-0.42
Shawn Kemp36380.470.030.430.209-11014.115.1-1.0116.714.42.34
Andrew DeClercq66600.420.080.350.2853214.515.1-0.5515.714.61.10
Lamond Murray79760.370.130.240.119-11014.216.9-2.8015.315.4-0.09
Danny Ferry29270.340.160.180.079-11014.414.8-0.3514.915.5-0.60
Earl Boykins27250.240.26-0.010.1344015.514.41.0916.414.91.53
Donny Marshall11100.230.27-0.030.1244017.914.33.6216.315.21.10
Andre Miller66640.230.27-0.040.1726-414.215.8-1.6115.115.7-0.56
Mark Bryant3737-0.020.52-0.53-0.0826-415.514.21.3615.315.4-0.08
Lari Ketner1917-0.120.62-0.750.02-513-1815.214.60.6413.615.7-2.04
Wesley Person6361-0.190.69-0.88-0.01-614-2015.114.01.1214.516.8-2.36

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad44460.14-0.640.770.024-121613.616.9-3.2915.114.40.70
Ryan Bowen15150.02-0.520.550.020-8817.115.02.1615.114.60.52
Popeye Jones910-0.05-0.450.39-0.02-1-7616.615.21.3713.314.9-1.55
Chris Gatling6164-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-7615.115.7-0.5814.814.60.21
Raef LaFrentz6161-0.10-0.400.30-0.193-111415.415.10.3114.515.0-0.45
Keon Clark5357-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.07-91-1013.817.2-3.4115.114.20.90
James Posey5051-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.20-102-1217.013.43.6314.215.2-1.00
Antonio McDyess4244-0.520.02-0.53-0.25-91-1015.315.30.0314.914.60.31
George McCloud5355-0.520.02-0.54-0.29-80-815.615.00.5714.914.40.45
Nick Van Exel8287-0.550.05-0.61-0.29-91-1015.613.22.3714.516.5-1.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 102, IND 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.42,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.04,093.1%
CLE 106, WAS 990.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.01,0.03,0.01,092.9%
MEM 101, MIN 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.09,092.8%