NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	7.7 [325]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +21.1%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.8 [502]		LVP	Jeff Green (ORL): -15.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.13	0.00	19	56%	0.24	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	8	60%	0.15	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	12	65%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Elfrid Payton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.05	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
C.J. Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	70%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	20	43%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	9	11%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	13	72%	0.22	3	-0.04	10	100%	0.05
Alan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	39%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	17	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Jones, Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.02	-0.02	13	33%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Alex Len	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	12	32%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	27.1	15.4	29.5	2.3	37.6	139.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.6%

PHX -3.8%

ORL +21.1%

PHX -1.4%

ORL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.8	14.0	14.8	105.8	99.0	107.7
season	14.6	13.9		103.0	105.4
opponent	14.5	14.9		110.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	11.1	13.4	15.1	16.0	13.8
PHX	14.1	13.2	13.7	15.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	69	68	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.41	11	-5	16	13.1	15.2	-2.10	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Nikola Vucevic	71	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-9	24	13.0	15.6	-2.61	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Evan Fournier	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-5	16	13.2	15.5	-2.33	13.6	15.2	-1.56
Aaron Gordon	76	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	-1	8	13.3	15.1	-1.73	13.9	14.3	-0.38
Terrence Ross	65	65	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	6	-6	13.9	13.7	0.18	14.2	13.8	0.33
Mario Hezonja	33	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	3	0	13.9	13.7	0.21	14.3	13.9	0.38
Jeff Green	27	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	7	-8	15.1	13.3	1.73	14.3	13.9	0.38
C.J. Watson	33	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	8	-10	14.7	13.4	1.33	14.8	13.7	1.06
D.J. Augustin	32	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	11	-16	15.5	13.0	2.47	14.6	13.8	0.82
Bismack Biyombo	32	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	15	-24	15.6	13.0	2.61	14.1	14.0	0.13

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	42	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-7	8	14.6	13.7	0.91	14.6	13.3	1.36
Marquese Chriss	55	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-15	24	13.5	14.7	-1.18	13.9	13.6	0.34
Devin Booker	67	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-12	18	13.2	15.6	-2.43	13.5	14.3	-0.74
Alex Len	61	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-2	-2	14.3	13.7	0.56	13.8	13.8	0.00
Derrick Jones, Jr.	35	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	2	-10	15.5	13.3	2.20	14.5	13.5	0.97
Alan Williams	36	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	12.7	14.7	-2.00	13.2	14.2	-0.97
Jared Dudley	56	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	7	-20	15.2	12.7	2.45	13.9	13.7	0.15
TJ Warren	80	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	4	-14	13.8	14.8	-0.99	13.4	15.4	-1.99
Tyler Ulis	88	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.36	-7	1	-8	14.1	13.9	0.18	13.9	13.3	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 111, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.38,0.06,0.1,0.09,0	91.8%
MEM 103, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.02,0	91.3%
WAS 98, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0	91.2%