NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	86		Excitement	3.8 [1052]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): +13.1%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	1.2 [1159]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -3.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	16	59%	0.10	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Will Conroy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	16	63%	0.11	6	-0.12	6	100%	0.02
James Singleton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	12	54%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	54%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	12	42%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.04	-0.04	12	60%	0.18	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.02	-0.04	18	60%	0.17	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	1	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	24.2	16.7	31.2	1.8	29.0	131.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.0%

DAL +11.1%

DAL +4.1%

DAL +3.3%

DAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	18.0	16.5	15.4	103.6	114.3	104.5
season	15.7	16.3		103.3	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	22.8	18.8	17.0	18.0
DAL	17.8	15.9	15.5	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Conroy	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-8	6	0.0	18.0	-18.04	16.0	16.5	-0.47
Quinton Ross	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-11	12	20.7	16.6	4.08	14.4	17.5	-3.13
Daniel Ewing	19	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	-7	4	19.8	17.5	2.27	14.9	16.9	-1.99
James Singleton	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	19.3	16.7	2.53	14.9	18.1	-3.24
Chris Kaman	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	2	-14	18.4	17.0	1.47	17.1	15.0	2.11
Corey Maggette	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	17.5	19.7	-2.19	16.9	15.0	1.89
Elton Brand	60	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	17.0	20.7	-3.62	17.4	13.6	3.79
Jason Hart	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	17.3	20.9	-3.65	16.5	16.3	0.17
Cuttino Mobley	74	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	0	-10	17.4	22.9	-5.44	16.9	13.1	3.76

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	57	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-3	16	16.4	16.6	-0.13	17.8	18.6	-0.79
Devean George	56	55	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-2	14	17.8	13.8	3.96	17.7	18.6	-0.86
Josh Howard	59	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-1	12	17.4	14.3	3.05	18.0	18.2	-0.18
DeSagana Diop	54	55	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	2	6	15.9	17.5	-1.56	18.4	17.2	1.19
Dirk Nowitzki	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	5	0	17.3	12.4	4.95	17.5	20.6	-3.14
Jerry Stackhouse	48	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	6	-2	15.9	17.2	-1.23	18.0	18.1	-0.18
Erick Dampier	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	6	-2	17.4	16.4	1.01	16.0	18.2	-2.22
Devin Harris	30	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	11	-12	15.6	16.9	-1.34	18.0	18.1	-0.06
Greg Buckner	26	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	13	-16	13.7	17.7	-4.07	19.5	17.4	2.13
Austin Croshere	13	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	13	-16	13.5	17.0	-3.55	20.1	17.6	2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1	96.0%
SAS 99, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
WAS 87, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%