NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	96		Excitement	4.9 [863]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +7.8%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.2 [1204]		LVP	Al Thornton (WAS): -20.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	89%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.12	22	65%	0.06	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	14	55%	0.03	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	10	20%	-0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	10	30%	-0.08	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	14	57%	0.11	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	20	51%	0.07	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	66%	0.08	5	-0.10	12	75%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	8%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	27.9	16.0	31.0	2.5	34.6	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +34.9%

CHI +6.7%

WAS -6.8%

CHI +15.1%

CHI +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.0	15.5	102.1	109.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		100.9	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.2		99.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	16.2	18.5	12.8	15.7
CHI	15.7	12.6	15.0	16.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	26	27	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-14	21	14.9	16.0	-1.09	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Nick Young	36	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-10	13	14.2	16.6	-2.44	17.2	13.5	3.62
Trevor Booker	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-13	19	12.7	17.5	-4.82	16.5	14.0	2.53
Hilton Armstrong	39	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-6	5	13.1	17.5	-4.39	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Gilbert Arenas	66	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-7	7	14.0	19.7	-5.71	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Al Thornton	46	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-1	-5	18.3	13.1	5.16	15.3	14.7	0.62
JaVale McGee	36	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.01	-11	4	-15	18.1	14.2	3.96	15.9	14.4	1.49
Kirk Hinrich	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	0	-7	16.1	14.1	2.00	15.0	14.9	0.14
John Wall	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	4	-15	15.9	15.3	0.54	13.6	17.7	-4.08
Andray Blatche	51	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	8	-23	18.4	12.4	5.99	14.4	15.6	-1.13

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.16	12	-5	17	14.2	17.5	-3.31	15.9	14.8	1.11
Joakim Noah	74	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.12	10	-3	13	14.5	16.7	-2.20	15.9	14.5	1.45
Ronnie Brewer	37	38	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-5	17	14.1	15.5	-1.37	16.0	15.5	0.51
Taj Gibson	49	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	-1	9	14.3	15.7	-1.43	17.5	13.8	3.68
Luol Deng	84	85	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	5	-3	15.5	10.7	4.78	15.5	17.2	-1.72
Kyle Korver	40	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-1	9	13.9	15.7	-1.82	15.4	15.9	-0.45
Keith Bogans	65	64	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.37	-8	15	-23	16.0	12.7	3.25	15.3	16.5	-1.22
Omer Asik	20	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	10	-13	16.7	14.5	2.20	14.5	15.9	-1.45
CJ Watson	29	29	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	13	-19	16.8	14.1	2.69	13.3	16.7	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
HOU 79, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ORL 105, SAS 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%