inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 79 Excitement4.0 [991] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +13.0%
Los Angeles Lakers 95 Comeback1.1 [1093] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -15.6%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Walt Williams0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.010.028100%0.162-0.043100%0.01
Jason Collier0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dan Langhi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tierre Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terence Morris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01656%0.011-0.026100%0.02
Kenny Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.00650%-0.0200.00650%-0.05
Kelvin Cato-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Moochie Norris-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.13-0.01-0.08517%-0.043-0.022100%0.01
Cuttino Mobley-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.051231%-0.041-0.045100%0.03
Eddie Griffin-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.0180%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Steve Francis-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.13-0.030.002045%-0.026-0.14475%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.02-0.022168%0.183-0.051155%-0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.02-0.01970%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.01869%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.01-0.071443%0.043-0.04250%-0.00
Jelani McCoy00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01944%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00644%-0.0200.00475%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.00-0.04812%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.0340%-0.062-0.0300%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.0050%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.01727%-0.052-0.0410%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.827.116.726.22.527.3128.6
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +22.0%
HOU -7.8%
LAL +25.3%
LAL +10.8%
HOU -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOULALNBAHOULALNBA
this game16.614.815.686.8103.3102.3
season16.815.3100.9106.9
opponent15.415.299.8106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU18.319.314.914.916.6
LAL16.016.712.814.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Langhi1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-171812.817.1-4.3111.115.3-4.20
Tierre Brown1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-171812.817.1-4.3111.115.3-4.20
Terence Morris1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-171812.817.1-4.3111.115.3-4.20
Walt Williams4342-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-151415.617.5-1.9114.715.0-0.25
Kevin Willis4343-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-161616.217.0-0.8115.514.31.20
Jason Collier1819-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-11615.117.0-1.9713.515.2-1.67
Kelvin Cato2727-0.21-0.290.080.06-9-7-217.916.11.7315.314.70.58
Moochie Norris4446-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-12-4-816.916.40.4815.214.50.61
Kenny Thomas6565-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.03-11-5-616.916.00.9515.014.50.47
Eddie Griffin3636-0.39-0.11-0.270.08-160-1619.914.55.3315.714.31.44
Cuttino Mobley7576-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.02-13-3-1016.616.8-0.2115.312.62.69
Steve Francis7476-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.02-160-1617.114.82.2315.013.91.10

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindsey Hunter56550.51-0.010.52-0.0218-22014.715.1-0.3416.816.30.50
Shaquille O'Neal62630.480.020.46-0.1421-52615.413.81.5517.315.22.00
Robert Horry61600.330.170.150.15610-415.114.30.8416.217.5-1.23
Devean George54520.300.200.10-0.02115614.615.3-0.7116.317.1-0.72
Mitch Richmond43420.280.220.070.0588014.215.4-1.2016.616.7-0.12
Derek Fisher50490.220.28-0.05-0.0188015.114.50.5516.716.60.12
Rick Fox38390.200.30-0.100.05511-615.314.60.7117.116.30.72
Mark Madsen25250.110.39-0.29-0.07610-414.415.0-0.5617.316.40.89
Slava Medvedenko26240.090.41-0.320.12-117-1813.715.3-1.6115.717.0-1.32
Brian Shaw41420.050.45-0.40-0.01214-1215.214.50.6716.616.7-0.08
Jelani McCoy44-0.070.57-0.640.05-420-2414.514.9-0.3612.716.8-4.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 96, CHI 1030.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,195.9%
SAS 87, HOU 1120.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
NJN 84, DET 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%