NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	4.1 [990]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +5.8%
Denver Nuggets	108		Comeback	1.4 [930]		LVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): -9.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	-0.01	-0.05	16	64%	0.10	4	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.03	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	7	69%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06
Etan Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	5	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	14	50%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Elson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	3	92%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	18	57%	0.07	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	19	49%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	13	35%	-0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	544.0	2.4	27.2	16.5	26.4	2.4	30.6	649.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +15.7%

DEN +4.1%

DEN +13.7%

DEN +14.2%

DEN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.7	91.6	111.3	100.5
season	15.2	14.9		96.4	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.1	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.0	15.9	16.3	11.2	14.8
DEN	17.4	14.1	12.5	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	36	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	-14	7	12.0	16.5	-4.57	14.6	15.5	-0.96
Juan Dixon	46	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	-12	3	13.4	16.1	-2.75	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Etan Thomas	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-18	15	14.1	15.7	-1.66	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Jarvis Hayes	28	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.14	-11	-10	-1	13.4	15.4	-2.06	13.4	16.0	-2.63
Chris Whitney	19	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-14	7	17.1	14.2	2.80	13.9	15.5	-1.54
Christian Laettner	35	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-16	11	15.1	14.7	0.39	15.0	15.3	-0.26
Brendan Haywood	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-11	1	17.2	13.6	3.54	15.7	14.9	0.84
Jared Jeffries	52	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-11	1	15.2	14.4	0.76	16.2	14.0	2.17
Kwame Brown	47	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.23	-18	-3	-15	15.3	14.3	1.05	15.3	15.1	0.23
Gilbert Arenas	76	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-10	-1	15.0	14.1	0.95	16.1	11.8	4.26
Larry Hughes	51	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-7	-7	16.1	13.4	2.70	15.4	15.0	0.43

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Voshon Lenard	68	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.16	24	-3	27	15.1	15.3	-0.18	15.1	14.2	0.89
Carmelo Anthony	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.26	26	-5	31	14.2	17.8	-3.53	15.7	12.1	3.59
Andre Miller	64	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	8	5	16.1	13.5	2.62	14.9	14.7	0.23
Chris Andersen	44	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	4	13	13.7	16.4	-2.63	15.3	14.4	0.85
Marcus Camby	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	6	9	16.1	14.2	1.85	16.3	13.1	3.23
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	25	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	21	-21	14.4	15.5	-1.11	13.8	15.1	-1.30
Earl Boykins	55	53	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	15	-9	14.8	15.6	-0.81	13.5	16.5	-2.94
Francisco Elson	39	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	18	-15	16.7	14.1	2.61	15.5	14.3	1.23
Jon Barry	47	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	18	-15	14.1	16.2	-2.13	14.0	15.6	-1.56
Rodney White	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	16.7	15.1	1.63	8.5	15.1	-6.59
Ryan Bowen	19	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	26	-31	18.2	14.5	3.70	11.6	15.6	-4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHI 73, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
TOR 82, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%