NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	4.1 [997]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +16.1%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.4 [975]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -8.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	79%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Aron Baynes	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	-0.00	17	64%	0.20	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	11	73%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.05	8	78%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	53%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	30.5	16.5	29.6	2.8	25.2	132.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.8%

GSW +3.7%

GSW +2.8%

GSW +15.9%

SAS -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	15.1	102.1	113.4	104.2
season	15.4	13.6		106.9	109.2
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.7	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	16.7	15.2	14.4	15.3
GSW	12.8	12.1	14.8	18.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-21	31	14.4	15.6	-1.20	18.3	13.2	5.13
Reggie Williams	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-21	31	14.4	15.6	-1.20	18.3	13.2	5.13
Cory Joseph	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-21	31	14.4	15.6	-1.20	18.3	13.2	5.13
Patty Mills	47	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-17	23	13.6	16.9	-3.30	15.7	13.0	2.77
Aron Baynes	48	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-14	17	17.1	13.7	3.41	14.9	13.8	1.14
Tiago Splitter	33	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-5	-1	12.5	16.8	-4.28	15.1	14.0	1.11
Marco Belinelli	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	0	-11	14.6	15.9	-1.30	13.7	14.8	-1.06
Manu Ginobili	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	1	-13	13.8	16.4	-2.58	13.0	15.2	-2.18
Kawhi Leonard	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-2	-7	17.3	14.1	3.20	12.4	15.6	-3.22
Danny Green	40	40	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	0	-11	16.8	14.3	2.48	14.5	14.2	0.25
Tim Duncan	45	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	1	-13	16.9	14.0	2.85	12.0	16.4	-4.43
Tony Parker	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	3	-17	17.0	14.0	2.95	11.9	16.4	-4.55
Boris Diaw	45	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	8	-27	14.7	15.9	-1.21	13.9	14.8	-0.89

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	58	59	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-7	25	13.1	16.2	-3.10	15.5	15.1	0.39
Stephen Curry	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	-11	33	13.0	17.2	-4.13	15.4	15.3	0.11
Draymond Green	65	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	0	11	13.8	15.5	-1.72	16.5	12.7	3.87
Andrew Bogut	49	51	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	1	9	13.2	15.5	-2.28	16.1	14.5	1.68
Klay Thompson	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	4	3	13.8	15.6	-1.86	16.1	13.8	2.23
Leandro Barbosa	27	29	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.10	9	2	7	15.2	14.0	1.16	14.2	15.8	-1.62
Andre Iguodala	54	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	8	-5	16.1	12.1	4.06	14.4	16.5	-2.08
David Lee	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.10	5	6	-1	15.4	13.6	1.80	14.2	16.1	-1.94
Shaun Livingston	31	30	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.34	-11	22	-33	17.2	13.0	4.13	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Festus Ezeli	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	18.0	14.1	3.89	11.6	15.5	-3.94
Justin Holiday	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	18.5	14.2	4.33	10.3	15.5	-5.17
Brandon Rush	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	18.5	14.2	4.33	10.3	15.5	-5.17
Marreese Speights	17	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	16	-21	13.6	14.5	-0.92	15.3	15.4	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 73, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAC 86, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
WAS 87, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%