NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	129		Excitement	11.3 [32]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +28.3%
Indiana Pacers	136		Comeback	1.5 [835]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -16.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26	0.06	0.22	0.02	12	75%	0.38	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	28	58%	0.31	5	-0.17	9	67%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.10	-0.05	18	56%	0.11	1	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Earl Boykins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	4	44%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lynn Greer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	15	54%	0.06	3	-0.10	5	20%	-0.06
Jared Reiner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	10	50%	-0.03
Brian Skinner	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	2	0%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.16	0.01	10	74%	0.38	3	-0.10	15	87%	0.04
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.03	16	63%	0.22	3	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	16	60%	0.23	5	-0.16	16	69%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	10	73%	0.16	2	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Orien Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.29,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	14	37%	-0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	30.5	2.0	36.1	15.6	25.1	2.3	39.5	2.4	17.3	2.4	19.4	192.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -38.5%

IND +44.3%

IND +48.3%

MIL -4.3%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	15.4	111.2	116.2	104.5
season	15.2	15.3		105.3	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	14.6	16.0	15.5	14.5	14.2	15.0
IND	11.7	16.0	13.8	17.5	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	37	36	0.65	-1.15	1.81	0.33	11	-18	29	14.2	15.3	-1.18	14.4	15.1	-0.67
Brian Skinner	41	42	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.01	5	-12	17	15.3	14.8	0.58	16.6	14.0	2.60
Lynn Greer	0	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-4	1	0.0	15.0	-14.97	9.5	15.0	-5.50
Jared Reiner	44	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-10	13	14.8	15.1	-0.31	15.3	14.6	0.69
Ersan Ilyasova	52	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.37	10	-17	27	14.8	15.1	-0.32	15.4	14.5	0.93
David Noel	7	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.20	-12	5	-17	16.3	14.9	1.40	8.1	15.4	-7.28
Michael Redd	78	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-4	1	15.1	14.6	0.54	15.0	14.6	0.42
Mo Williams	80	79	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-6	5	14.9	15.0	-0.05	14.3	16.1	-1.74
Andrew Bogut	77	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	7	-21	15.6	13.7	1.84	13.9	17.0	-3.14
Charlie Bell	91	90	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	7	-21	14.7	16.0	-1.37	15.0	14.7	0.21
Ruben Patterson	54	54	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.52	-10	3	-13	15.1	14.9	0.17	15.7	14.2	1.52

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	74	76	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.39	17	-10	27	14.8	15.2	-0.41	15.1	14.6	0.48
Jamaal Tinsley	85	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-3	13	15.2	14.1	1.12	15.5	13.6	1.95
Danny Granger	97	95	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	0	7	15.0	14.5	0.43	15.6	12.3	3.27
Jermaine O'Neal	89	88	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	2	3	15.2	14.0	1.19	15.2	14.1	1.13
Marquis Daniels	69	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	8	-9	15.9	13.5	2.38	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Mike Dunleavy	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	-1	9	13.8	16.4	-2.62	14.4	15.7	-1.33
Maceo Baston	16	16	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	6	-5	18.9	14.3	4.67	13.9	15.1	-1.27
Jeff Foster	45	43	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	7	-7	14.5	15.2	-0.64	15.1	14.9	0.17
Orien Greene	3	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	4	-1	3.7	15.2	-11.54	5.5	15.3	-9.80
Ike Diogu	7	7	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	10	-13	9.4	15.3	-5.83	15.0	15.0	0.04
Darrell Armstrong	35	36	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.14	-9	16	-25	13.5	15.5	-1.99	13.0	15.8	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.93,0.84,0.97,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.91,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 122, MIA 128	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.91,0.46,0.54,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.94,1,1	88.8%
WAS 109, DET 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	87.7%
GSW 104, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,1,1,1	87.6%