inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 104 Excitement6.2 [591] MVPRudy Gay (MEM): +32.0%
Indiana Pacers 114 Comeback2.0 [927] LVPMike Miller (MEM): -13.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0.320,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.240.100.021977%0.3200.002100%0.02
Hakim Warrick0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.06-0.011065%0.202-0.073100%0.02
Tarence Kinsey0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00275%0.041-0.024100%0.01
Junior Harrington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0-0.020.01-0.020100%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Dahntay Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00075%0.001-0.00475%-0.02
Damon Stoudamire-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.01540%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.03-0.01945%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Lawrence Roberts-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brian Cardinal-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00125%-0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Alexander Johnson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.0020%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.050.031647%-0.032-0.07837%-0.07
Mike Miller-0.130,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.011443%-0.004-0.1300%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.070.003100%0.1400.002100%0.02
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.11-0.010.06-0.06657%0.132-0.022100%0.02
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.00657%0.0700.002100%0.01
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.03-0.021460%0.163-0.092100%0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.020.031752%0.091-0.031070%-0.03
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.01-0.021754%0.122-0.07580%0.01
Ike Diogu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.02-0.01850%0.051-0.024100%0.02
Mike Dunleavy0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.001447%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Shawne Williams0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001100%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.327.315.427.41.726.0127.4
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +20.5%
IND +14.6%
IND +2.2%
IND +12.4%
IND +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMINDNBAMEMINDNBA
this game13.716.215.4108.3117.5104.5
season15.115.3105.1101.3
opponent15.315.1103.9110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM12.115.514.612.713.7
IND14.118.812.520.616.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lawrence Roberts45440.05-0.550.61-0.064-141813.913.50.4014.117.9-3.82
Alexander Johnson89-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-9811.713.9-2.109.716.8-7.15
Dahntay Jones2021-0.06-0.440.37-0.091-111212.813.9-1.1120.515.05.52
Brian Cardinal1515-0.09-0.410.33-0.06-1-9813.713.70.0715.716.2-0.58
Chucky Atkins5452-0.11-0.390.27-0.234-141814.412.81.5817.015.21.74
Damon Stoudamire3232-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-6213.213.9-0.7813.017.7-4.75
Tarence Kinsey2727-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-2-8612.914.0-1.1018.515.23.28
Junior Harrington1013-0.25-0.250.010.05-100-1011.613.9-2.3220.815.45.33
Mike Miller6769-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.10-7-3-413.713.7-0.0714.919.3-4.40
Hakim Warrick3739-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-155-2014.513.11.4016.116.2-0.09
Pau Gasol7878-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.18-100-1013.813.10.7016.813.53.33
Rudy Gay8786-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.23-9-1-813.713.30.3816.612.44.28

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Foster54550.59-0.090.680.1216-62217.314.72.5813.114.5-1.46
Darrell Armstrong47480.55-0.050.590.1115-52017.714.73.0012.914.4-1.48
Marquis Daniels50520.51-0.010.520.1313-31616.316.00.2613.214.3-1.14
Ike Diogu37360.480.020.47-0.0217-72415.416.6-1.1713.613.7-0.11
Mike Dunleavy64610.320.180.140.2337-416.315.90.4214.112.91.20
Danny Granger66650.300.200.090.001001015.916.7-0.7714.112.81.29
Troy Murphy4139-0.010.51-0.520.11-414-1814.017.7-3.6514.713.01.75
Jamaal Tinsley5048-0.050.55-0.590.10-515-2014.717.7-3.0014.412.91.48
Jermaine O'Neal6262-0.060.56-0.630.20-919-2817.014.72.3013.613.8-0.18
Shawne Williams1414-0.120.62-0.750.05-616-2216.216.10.0711.814.0-2.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 105, SAS 1170.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.93,1,1,194.2%
SAC 89, BOS 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.1%
LAL 83, TOR 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,193.9%