NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	5.7 [693]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (BOS): +27.5%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	2.2 [413]		LVP	Brandon Bass (BOS): -19.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	19	63%	0.13	4	-0.08	11	82%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	23	49%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	38%	0.00	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Ray McCallum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.01	11	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.11	-0.03	9	95%	0.30	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.04	5	79%	0.13	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jared Sullinger	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.02	0.09	24	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.08	0.02	6	42%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.04	-0.05	20	38%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	8	12%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	32.3	15.5	25.3	2.7	26.4	129.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +65.7%

SAC -17.7%

BOS +5.5%

SAC -7.1%

BOS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.1	95.7	106.5	105.2
season	15.4	15.4		104.5	101.2
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.8	17.9	17.2	16.1	16.5
BOS	14.6	12.6	16.2	14.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	76	75	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-14	18	16.3	17.5	-1.25	14.5	14.1	0.44
DeMarcus Cousins	77	76	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-17	24	16.3	17.4	-1.13	14.7	13.3	1.43
Ray McCallum	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	8.0	16.7	-8.69	18.0	14.3	3.66
Jason Thompson	70	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-9	8	16.8	15.6	1.25	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Derrick Williams	83	81	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-7	4	16.5	16.9	-0.44	14.5	14.5	-0.04
Travis Outlaw	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	16.8	15.9	0.88	14.8	13.7	1.12
Quincy Acy	23	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	15.6	16.8	-1.25	15.0	14.3	0.69
Ben McLemore	40	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	0	-10	15.9	16.9	-1.02	14.0	14.8	-0.83
Jimmer Fredette	15	15	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	7	-24	18.8	16.1	2.74	13.3	14.7	-1.35
Carl Landry	15	16	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	7	-24	18.1	16.2	1.94	13.1	14.8	-1.69

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	78	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-7	24	14.2	15.7	-1.44	17.2	12.9	4.29
Kelly Olynyk	50	49	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-5	20	14.2	14.8	-0.57	16.8	16.2	0.57
Jared Sullinger	67	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-7	24	14.3	14.9	-0.64	16.2	17.3	-1.06
Jerryd Bayless	53	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.06	14	-4	18	14.1	14.9	-0.81	16.6	16.4	0.16
Chris Johnson	41	40	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-5	20	13.7	15.0	-1.31	16.6	16.5	0.12
Kris Humphries	15	15	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	4	2	12.9	14.8	-1.90	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Phil Pressey	44	43	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	15.2	13.8	1.45	16.3	16.7	-0.42
Joel Anthony	14	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	15	-20	15.5	14.3	1.22	17.1	16.4	0.75
Jeff Green	63	63	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.23	-11	21	-32	15.0	13.4	1.62	15.7	18.1	-2.35
Brandon Bass	40	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	23	-36	15.3	13.8	1.51	16.6	16.4	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, IND 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
VAN 97, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
DET 110, OKC 123	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%