NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	97		Excitement	5.3 [753]		MVP	Adonal Foyle (GSW): +12.5%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	2.0 [560]		LVP	Felipe Lopez (VAN): -11.2%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	15	70%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	18	60%	0.13	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Bryant Reeves	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Obinna Ekezie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	13	54%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	55%	-0.00	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Felipe Lopez	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	7	41%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	8	83%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	12	69%	0.19	3	-0.09	12	75%	0.02
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	17	64%	0.10	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	23	54%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	23%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	26.6	15.5	26.3	1.8	31.2	126.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +7.7%

GSW +14.9%

GSW +17.1%

GSW +3.4%

GSW +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	GSW	NBA	VAN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.0	14.6	15.2	103.2	116.0	101.7
season	15.9	14.7		99.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		105.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.3	17.8	16.7	16.7	16.0
GSW	15.5	14.9	13.9	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	16	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-19	26	15.7	16.1	-0.35	15.3	14.4	0.85
Milt Palacio	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	12.2	16.2	-3.96	11.2	14.8	-3.59
Bryant Reeves	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-13	14	14.8	16.8	-2.05	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Felipe Lopez	29	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-9	6	15.9	16.1	-0.16	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Othella Harrington	58	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-1	-10	16.1	15.9	0.25	15.0	14.0	0.97
Cherokee Parks	16	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-8	4	16.9	15.9	1.00	12.1	15.1	-3.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	2	-16	16.3	14.1	2.17	14.3	17.0	-2.69
Mike Bibby	85	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	3	-18	16.2	14.1	2.14	14.9	12.1	2.79
Dennis Scott	60	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	-2	-8	16.3	15.6	0.76	14.8	14.3	0.47
Michael Dickerson	82	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	4	-20	16.0	16.3	-0.33	14.8	13.0	1.83

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Davis	75	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-5	22	14.3	15.7	-1.43	16.7	13.2	3.49
Vonteego Cummings	43	41	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	4	4	15.3	14.0	1.26	16.4	15.8	0.57
Jason Caffey	79	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-5	22	14.3	15.9	-1.59	16.3	14.4	1.92
Tony Farmer	54	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-3	18	15.1	13.8	1.30	16.3	15.7	0.51
Larry Hughes	82	83	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	2	8	14.7	13.9	0.78	16.0	16.6	-0.67
Adonal Foyle	56	56	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	10	-8	15.0	14.0	0.96	15.3	17.2	-1.92
Mookie Blaylock	66	67	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.13	6	6	0	14.7	14.5	0.19	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Sam Jacobson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	11.2	14.8	-3.59	12.2	16.2	-3.96
Tim Young	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	11.2	14.8	-3.59	12.2	16.2	-3.96
Bill Curley	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	11.2	14.8	-3.59	12.2	16.2	-3.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	94.7%
NOP 84, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
MEM 78, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%