inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 78 Excitement5.9 [594] MVPChris Whitney (DEN): +11.8%
Denver Nuggets 93 Comeback1.8 [489] LVPPau Gasol (MEM): -23.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Watson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.010.06-0.04467%0.092-0.01475%0.01
Mike Batiste-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.01567%0.011-0.022100%0.00
Shane Battier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.01-0.06520%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Cezary Trybanski-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01657%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Wesley Person-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.01736%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jason Williams-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.02844%0.013-0.072100%0.01
Drew Gooden-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.021644%-0.062-0.014100%0.02
Gordan Giricek-0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.030.01945%-0.033-0.094100%0.01
Pau Gasol-0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.16-0.050.021732%-0.172-0.06650%-0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.030.08-0.011158%0.141-0.024100%0.03
Rodney White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.03-0.05757%0.073-0.0200%0.00
Vincent Yarbrough0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.01567%0.0200.002100%0.01
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.03450%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.052352%0.011-0.034100%0.03
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.01460%0.013-0.062100%0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00325%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Junior Harrington0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.051036%-0.013-0.052100%0.01
Donnell Harvey0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00633%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Nene0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.030.01444%-0.081-0.041040%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.42.430.415.425.52.424.6128.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +32.0%
DEN +1.8%
DEN +12.8%
DEN +3.1%
DEN +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game15.316.115.585.7101.1101.6
season15.315.7101.890.4
opponent15.315.299.4105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.615.815.115.715.3
DEN18.814.814.916.316.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cezary Trybanski760.04-0.540.580.011-161718.415.13.3515.516.2-0.67
Mike Batiste4140-0.10-0.400.30-0.193-182115.315.30.0015.017.0-2.00
Wesley Person5153-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-12913.817.3-3.5016.315.90.40
Earl Watson3233-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-11715.815.10.6816.515.90.55
Drew Gooden6061-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-8114.816.3-1.4915.617.2-1.65
Pau Gasol7880-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-6-315.116.8-1.7616.612.83.79
Jason Williams5959-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.03-11-4-715.115.8-0.6815.916.5-0.55
Gordan Giricek4039-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-3-917.313.83.5015.916.3-0.40
Shane Battier4647-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-161-1715.415.30.1016.615.60.99
Lorenzen Wright4142-0.540.04-0.58-0.04-172-1916.014.81.1616.615.70.90

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vincent Yarbrough46460.340.160.180.05105515.017.3-2.2614.815.9-1.17
Chris Andersen19180.340.160.180.1087113.316.9-3.5516.715.01.72
Mark Blount41390.290.210.070.17411-714.917.1-2.2614.915.7-0.73
Junior Harrington61600.280.220.070.0296316.415.50.8814.916.2-1.34
Ryan Bowen29290.260.240.030.0387116.516.00.5116.214.91.32
Rodney White40390.260.240.02-0.03105516.715.71.0516.614.42.14
Nene51520.210.29-0.07-0.11114717.114.92.2615.714.90.73
Donnell Harvey43440.170.33-0.15-0.0069-315.616.6-0.9915.115.6-0.53
Juwan Howard73730.160.34-0.18-0.0478-116.913.33.5515.016.7-1.72
Chris Whitney37370.120.38-0.270.09114-1316.415.90.4615.515.20.29
Nikoloz Tskitishvili20180.060.44-0.370.03114-1316.716.00.7914.615.5-0.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 91, MIN 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,194.4%
VAN 97, GSW 1090.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.9%
NYK 80, SAS 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,193.8%