NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	6.1 [631]		MVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): +8.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	1.7 [716]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -15.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	12	83%	0.16	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	31%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	23	40%	-0.12	3	-0.04	4	50%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.02	-0.05	12	62%	0.13	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	10	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	61%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	41%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	7	93%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	9	30%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	13	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	28.0	14.8	28.2	2.5	26.2	128.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +29.2%

MIN +12.2%

MIN +4.2%

MIN +2.2%

MIN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	14.3	92.9	101.0	109.3
season	14.5	14.4		108.4	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.6		111.8	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	15.7	14.2	15.6	15.1
MIN	12.4	13.6	15.1	15.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	25	25	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.04	7	-17	24	13.4	15.7	-2.32	12.4	14.5	-2.09
Darren Collison	52	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-8	6	15.0	15.2	-0.28	13.7	14.3	-0.54
Myles Turner	50	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-10	10	15.2	15.0	0.14	15.5	12.4	3.18
Victor Oladipo	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-6	2	14.8	15.8	-0.95	14.2	13.6	0.63
Tyreke Evans	31	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-3	-4	15.4	14.9	0.48	13.3	14.3	-1.01
Cory Joseph	53	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-9	8	14.8	15.5	-0.73	14.5	13.4	1.03
Thaddeus Young	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-5	0	15.2	14.9	0.32	14.5	12.9	1.58
Domantas Sabonis	37	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	14.9	15.2	-0.28	12.5	14.9	-2.39
Doug McDermott	33	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	1	-12	16.5	14.4	2.15	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	74	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.19	-18	8	-26	15.5	14.0	1.41	14.1	13.9	0.17

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	35	35	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	0	10	13.5	14.3	-0.72	16.3	14.4	1.86
Josh Okogie	52	51	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	2	6	13.2	14.9	-1.62	15.1	15.0	0.09
Anthony Tolliver	33	33	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-1	12	12.8	14.6	-1.82	15.5	14.9	0.64
Jimmy Butler	74	73	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	3	4	15.0	11.2	3.86	15.1	15.0	0.12
Gorgui Dieng	32	30	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	3	4	13.3	14.3	-1.03	15.5	14.9	0.54
Derrick Rose	57	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	7	-4	13.4	14.8	-1.45	14.7	15.6	-0.84
Karl-Anthony Towns	68	68	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	7	-4	14.3	13.3	1.03	14.9	15.5	-0.54
Taj Gibson	67	65	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	11	-12	14.6	12.8	1.82	14.9	15.5	-0.64
Jeff Teague	65	63	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	10	-10	14.3	13.5	0.72	14.4	16.3	-1.86
Andrew Wiggins	17	16	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	8	-6	14.1	14.0	0.13	16.1	14.9	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 78, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
NYK 80, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%
LAC 90, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1	93.1%