NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	5.5 [680]		MVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): +12.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	1.8 [844]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -14.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.20	-0.02	0.07	18	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.04
Tim Thomas	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	15	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Nick Fazekas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Al Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	15	28%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	9	79%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	10	70%	0.16	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	15	65%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	10	46%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	39%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	25.0	15.0	28.2	1.8	36.2	133.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +72.2%

LAC -10.9%

MIN +4.1%

LAC -14.3%

LAC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.4	102.3	110.0	105.7
season	15.6	15.9		99.5	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.1		109.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	18.5	16.9	15.1	16.6
MIN	14.7	15.8	14.4	18.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Fazekas	16	16	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-13	17	17.4	16.4	1.02	18.6	15.2	3.40
Dan Dickau	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-7	5	18.4	16.2	2.17	14.9	16.0	-1.02
Brevin Knight	52	53	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-11	13	15.0	18.9	-3.87	17.1	13.9	3.23
Quinton Ross	24	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-6	3	17.9	16.1	1.81	13.7	16.6	-2.83
Josh Powell	65	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-5	1	16.2	17.7	-1.42	16.0	15.0	1.05
Al Thornton	36	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	18.5	15.3	3.21	14.4	16.8	-2.42
Cuttino Mobley	72	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-8	7	15.8	20.2	-4.46	16.7	11.6	5.15
Smush Parker	19	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	0	-9	19.4	15.8	3.53	12.9	16.6	-3.62
Corey Maggette	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	16.3	17.7	-1.46	16.1	14.8	1.32
Tim Thomas	72	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.14	-19	10	-29	16.5	17.1	-0.56	15.1	19.0	-3.93

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	72	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-5	19	14.6	20.6	-6.06	16.8	16.1	0.70
Marko Jaric	74	71	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	5	-1	15.8	15.8	-0.06	15.9	19.5	-3.56
Rashad McCants	51	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	1	7	16.2	15.2	1.04	17.3	15.7	1.52
Corey Brewer	45	43	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	3	3	15.3	16.2	-0.96	18.0	15.3	2.73
Craig Smith	29	28	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.24	1	8	-7	17.5	14.9	2.58	16.9	16.4	0.48
Al Jefferson	66	67	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	4	1	16.3	14.4	1.84	16.2	17.8	-1.52
Kirk Snyder	47	48	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	5	-1	16.2	15.3	0.93	15.8	17.6	-1.78
Randy Foye	53	52	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	4	1	15.4	16.4	-0.99	16.5	16.7	-0.25
Chris Richard	13	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	11	-13	16.1	15.7	0.36	17.0	16.5	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
IND 90, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 93, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.0%