NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	5.6 [704]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +16.1%
San Antonio Spurs	92		Comeback	2.0 [660]		LVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): -15.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	21	64%	0.21	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	9	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.06	0.01	7	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	37%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	11	23%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.03	0.05	18	38%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.06	0.04	6	100%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	17	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.14	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	8	31%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	10	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	34.5	15.0	25.1	2.5	31.7	132.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.3%

NYK -5.0%

SAS +9.3%

SAS +3.7%

SAS +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	13.2	18.2	15.5	87.9	100.0	106.4
season	13.8	16.4		106.2	106.6
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	11.4	13.0	15.6	13.1	13.2
SAS	16.7	18.3	17.9	20.2	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	11	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-12	12	12.5	13.3	-0.90	17.3	18.3	-1.00
Mardy Collins	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-10	8	13.7	13.2	0.49	17.3	18.3	-1.00
David Lee	58	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-16	20	13.3	13.2	0.09	18.2	18.3	-0.10
Chris Duhon	74	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-10	8	12.8	15.4	-2.60	18.1	18.6	-0.47
Nate Robinson	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-12	12	13.6	12.5	1.09	18.5	17.5	1.02
Zach Randolph	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	0	-12	13.3	13.2	0.08	18.2	18.2	-0.06
Anthony Roberson	14	13	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-1	-10	16.1	12.7	3.34	17.9	18.3	-0.33
Wilson Chandler	40	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	1	-14	13.8	12.8	1.09	18.7	17.8	0.83
Jamal Crawford	73	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-3	-6	13.0	14.2	-1.22	18.3	17.9	0.40
Quentin Richardson	44	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	3	-18	12.5	13.9	-1.35	18.0	18.4	-0.41

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	37	36	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	0	12	18.6	17.9	0.69	14.0	12.8	1.21
Roger Mason Jr.	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-1	14	18.3	17.9	0.39	13.3	13.0	0.31
Bruce Bowen	53	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	4	4	18.4	18.0	0.36	13.4	13.1	0.25
George Hill	60	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	1	10	18.2	18.1	0.13	12.9	13.9	-1.00
Tim Duncan	68	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	2	8	18.4	17.7	0.73	13.1	13.5	-0.37
Michael Finley	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	7	-2	18.8	17.8	1.01	14.4	12.5	1.92
Kurt Thomas	15	16	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	6	0	18.3	18.2	0.07	17.4	12.3	5.09
Ime Udoka	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	8	-4	16.7	19.5	-2.79	12.2	14.1	-1.82
Fabricio Oberto	51	50	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	14	-16	18.9	17.4	1.47	12.2	14.5	-2.36
Matt Bonner	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	6.0	18.5	-12.48	8.0	13.4	-5.36
Jacque Vaughn	23	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	19	-26	17.6	18.4	-0.80	12.6	13.4	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 97, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MEM 78, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
BOS 75, PHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.7%