NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	75		Excitement	5.9 [501]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +9.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	82		Comeback	2.2 [506]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -18.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.04	11	69%	0.15	4	-0.12	13	100%	0.07
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	12	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Kevin Garnett	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	20	48%	0.03	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	0.04	11	41%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.01	0.01	14	30%	-0.06	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	6	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	15	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	11	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.06
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	11	44%	0.05	4	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	13	39%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.6	30.8	16.4	29.3	3.4	37.7	149.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +57.7%

BOS -12.1%

BOS -16.1%

PHI +21.2%

BOS -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.7	15.6	85.2	92.1	102.8
season	15.5	15.6		99.4	101.0
opponent	16.1	16.2		97.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.9	16.4	17.6	16.2	16.8
PHI	14.4	14.9	13.7	20.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	9	8	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-9	11	17.6	16.7	0.83	16.6	15.7	0.97
E'Twaun Moore	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-7	7	17.0	16.8	0.20	14.0	15.8	-1.76
Marquis Daniels	4	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-5	3	20.0	16.7	3.35	21.3	15.5	5.79
Keyon Dooling	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-7	7	17.9	16.6	1.28	13.5	16.2	-2.74
Ray Allen	47	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	15.8	18.0	-2.19	16.2	15.2	1.05
Mickael Pietrus	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	16.8	16.9	-0.14	15.8	15.5	0.27
Ryan Hollins	19	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	19.5	16.1	3.47	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Brandon Bass	51	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	2	-11	17.1	16.4	0.79	15.4	16.2	-0.87
Paul Pierce	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	16.3	20.6	-4.38	15.5	17.7	-2.27
Kevin Garnett	74	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	16.8	16.7	0.11	16.3	12.6	3.66
Rajon Rondo	78	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	16.6	18.1	-1.46	15.8	15.3	0.50

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	72	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	0	7	16.0	14.6	1.35	16.6	17.6	-1.01
Elton Brand	65	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-4	15	16.6	13.5	3.13	16.3	18.2	-1.89
Jrue Holiday	73	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.29	5	2	3	15.8	15.4	0.45	16.2	19.5	-3.29
Lavoy Allen	32	32	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	3	1	17.7	14.6	3.09	18.1	16.1	2.07
Spencer Hawes	39	40	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	-1	9	13.9	17.1	-3.19	17.3	16.4	0.86
Louis Williams	48	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	6	-5	16.2	15.2	0.97	16.3	17.4	-1.08
Andre Iguodala	70	70	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	5	-3	15.5	16.7	-1.20	16.5	17.9	-1.36
Thaddeus Young	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	8	-9	14.2	16.2	-2.03	19.3	16.1	3.23
Jodie Meeks	25	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	9	-11	14.0	16.4	-2.42	17.8	16.5	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 81, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.89,0.94,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.8%
DET 76, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
MIA 82, NOH 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.8%