NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	84		Excitement	5.2 [766]		MVP	Willie Green (ORL): +15.0%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	2.7 [242]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -11.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	11	46%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	69%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.07	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.03	-0.02	15	38%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	0.00	0.05	13	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	18	61%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	16	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	19	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.6	27.0	16.4	24.6	2.5	29.6	125.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +41.0%

NOP -16.1%

ORL +10.1%

ORL +13.4%

ORL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ORL	NBA	NOP	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.0	15.1	94.4	105.6	104.2
season	15.8	14.9		106.3	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	17.6	16.3	15.5	15.2	16.1
ORL	14.4	15.0	15.2	19.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	16	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-13	15	17.3	15.9	1.44	16.2	16.0	0.24
Jeff Withey	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	17.5	16.1	1.40	20.5	15.9	4.56
Dante Cunningham	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-7	3	18.1	15.1	3.01	14.5	16.9	-2.35
Alexis Ajinca	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-9	7	16.7	16.0	0.74	16.7	15.9	0.78
Ryan Anderson	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-11	11	14.8	17.7	-2.89	17.5	14.2	3.37
Jimmer Fredette	29	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-10	9	15.2	16.6	-1.43	16.6	15.8	0.82
Quincy Pondexter	54	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-6	1	15.0	17.9	-2.93	16.8	14.8	2.01
Omer Asik	38	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	0	-11	17.7	14.9	2.80	13.8	17.7	-3.81
Anthony Davis	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	16.0	16.7	-0.74	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Tyreke Evans	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	2	-15	16.3	15.8	0.48	15.9	16.5	-0.58
Eric Gordon	69	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	1	-13	16.2	16.0	0.11	16.0	16.2	-0.20

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	73	71	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.21	19	-8	27	16.2	15.5	0.71	16.3	15.7	0.59
Nikola Vucevic	70	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	0	11	15.9	16.5	-0.65	16.4	15.4	1.02
Andrew Nicholson	38	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	5	1	17.9	14.7	3.25	15.1	16.9	-1.79
Willie Green	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	5	1	15.6	16.5	-0.89	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Elfrid Payton	62	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	5	1	15.5	17.3	-1.85	16.3	15.8	0.51
Victor Oladipo	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	6	-1	16.2	15.7	0.51	16.3	15.8	0.55
Channing Frye	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	6	-1	14.2	17.1	-2.91	17.1	15.5	1.54
Dewayne Dedmon	36	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	8	-5	16.1	16.0	0.06	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Luke Ridnour	19	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	12	-13	17.6	15.6	2.01	14.9	16.5	-1.61
Kyle O'Quinn	2	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	14	-17	15.5	16.1	-0.56	11.0	16.2	-5.19
Aaron Gordon	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	13	-15	16.5	16.0	0.53	16.8	16.0	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 97, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NYK 92, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%
OKC 88, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.3%