inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 88 Excitement5.8 [653] MVPSerge Ibaka (OKC): +10.3%
Toronto Raptors 100 Comeback2.8 [864] LVPKendrick Perkins (OKC): -14.9%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.17-0.020.041489%0.183-0.0800%0.00
Nick Collison0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00769%0.092-0.05250%-0.01
Steven Adams0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01471%0.062-0.04667%-0.00
Lance Thomas0.010,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.011156%0.062-0.05367%-0.02
Perry Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01450%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.050.00855%0.033-0.10450%-0.03
Reggie Jackson-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.14-0.03-0.051436%0.014-0.12862%-0.04
Kendrick Perkins-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.0030%-0.102-0.0520%-0.05

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.02970%0.111-0.032100%0.01
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.00960%0.091-0.022100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.02-0.041248%0.072-0.01978%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.02-0.01-0.02747%0.0400.005100%0.03
Greg Stiemsma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.002100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01655%0.0200.001080%-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.01550%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.021240%0.032-0.051100%0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01750%0.011-0.03250%-0.02
Terrence Ross0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021045%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.92.434.415.729.12.434.6144.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC -15.3%
TOR +21.4%
TOR +5.9%
TOR +35.4%
TOR +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCTORNBAOKCTORNBA
this game16.315.315.196.7109.9104.2
season14.515.6105.7109.1
opponent15.015.0106.8103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.815.718.015.016.3
TOR18.413.714.015.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Perry Jones33320.14-0.640.79-0.036-182415.716.7-1.0217.314.33.01
Kendrick Perkins3232-0.24-0.260.01-0.07-6-6017.715.62.1614.715.7-0.99
Steven Adams5959-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-6015.617.7-2.1615.714.70.99
Nick Collison5151-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.14-7-5-215.916.8-0.8615.714.80.86
Reggie Jackson7877-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.12-10-2-816.316.7-0.4415.514.50.98
Sebastian Telfair5354-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.05-142-1616.316.4-0.1314.216.9-2.72
Serge Ibaka8888-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-11-1-1016.122.3-6.2215.414.31.03
Lance Thomas6162-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.12-120-1217.414.13.3114.716.6-1.84

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Hansbrough52510.420.080.340.0413-11415.115.6-0.5415.617.2-1.62
Patrick Patterson68680.390.110.280.1393615.514.90.5616.416.20.19
Greivis Vasquez35360.370.130.240.1675213.916.2-2.2517.215.81.40
Greg Stiemsma21230.340.160.180.05102814.815.5-0.7419.715.24.58
Lou Williams37360.340.160.170.1957-214.915.6-0.7416.416.30.12
James Johnson41400.290.210.070.23210-815.015.6-0.6416.815.90.86
Kyle Lowry58580.200.30-0.09-0.0075216.014.21.8515.917.0-1.02
DeMar DeRozan58580.200.30-0.09-0.0075216.014.21.8515.917.0-1.02
Terrence Ross46470.170.33-0.15-0.12102815.215.5-0.3616.116.6-0.48
Jonas Valanciunas2525-0.110.61-0.710.07-618-2415.815.20.5915.116.8-1.71
Charles Hayes1413-0.120.62-0.730.00-416-2016.315.21.1315.316.5-1.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 83, UTA 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
SAC 87, POR 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,0.98,1,1,194.8%
OKC 93, ATL 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.7%