inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 93 Excitement5.7 [668] MVPDeMarre Carroll (ATL): +13.4%
Atlanta Hawks 103 Comeback2.4 [620] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -12.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Roberson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.002150%0.0800.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.05-0.00844%0.0500.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.021658%0.124-0.08667%-0.00
Steven Adams0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.01664%0.061-0.03250%-0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00340%-0.0000.00450%-0.03
Dion Waiters-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01844%0.021-0.042100%0.01
Anthony Morrow-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0240%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.080,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.011641%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.050.032244%-0.052-0.07450%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.030.02793%0.1300.0000%0.00
Pero Antic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.04-0.01653%0.0900.003100%0.01
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.03-0.011361%0.132-0.042100%0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.06-0.001150%0.091-0.024100%0.03
Al Horford0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.031256%0.091-0.041100%0.01
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03545%0.051-0.031100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.022100%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.031761%0.124-0.122100%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00550%0.024-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.90.826.516.425.81.831.2128.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +42.3%
ATL +13.5%
ATL +6.8%
OKC -13.5%
ATL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCATLNBAOKCATLNBA
this game14.615.415.195.9108.4104.2
season14.514.9105.7106.7
opponent15.415.0101.8103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.515.014.114.714.6
ATL16.212.616.516.615.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lamb120.00-0.500.50-0.093-131625.014.510.527.515.6-8.09
Ish Smith120.00-0.500.50-0.093-131625.014.510.527.515.6-8.09
Perry Jones120.00-0.500.50-0.093-131625.014.510.527.515.6-8.09
Andre Roberson3029-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-101015.414.21.2216.115.10.98
Steven Adams5454-0.17-0.330.15-0.03-5-5014.714.50.1816.414.22.20
Anthony Morrow3534-0.19-0.310.13-0.190-101014.514.6-0.1114.715.8-1.07
Serge Ibaka6968-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-7414.714.30.4216.412.93.49
Reggie Jackson5150-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-5013.715.6-1.8615.115.7-0.59
Kendrick Perkins3331-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-2-615.114.30.7213.616.3-2.73
Russell Westbrook7170-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.12-6-4-214.315.3-1.0416.412.83.56
Dion Waiters5451-0.500.00-0.50-0.00-177-2415.014.10.8514.216.8-2.64
Kevin Durant8582-0.510.01-0.52-0.07-155-2014.117.7-3.6115.415.40.04

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap64640.390.110.290.0711-11216.613.13.5014.514.7-0.12
Kyle Korver65680.360.140.230.1382615.215.9-0.6514.315.2-0.93
Al Horford63660.340.160.18-0.0112-21415.215.9-0.7814.814.10.72
Pero Antic37360.320.180.140.2337-415.615.30.3314.314.7-0.40
Dennis Schroder37370.320.180.140.1755014.316.1-1.8414.914.40.54
DeMarre Carroll62630.200.30-0.100.0555016.014.41.6214.514.8-0.27
Jeff Teague58600.180.32-0.140.0455016.114.31.8414.414.9-0.54
Thabo Sefolosha33330.160.34-0.170.19-111-1214.116.1-1.9914.514.7-0.20
Kent Bazemore32330.130.37-0.240.0728-615.915.20.6814.514.6-0.11
Mike Scott24250.090.41-0.320.09010-1013.016.2-3.1815.714.21.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 83, HOU 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
TOR 74, NOH 890.5,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
OKC 88, TOR 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,194.7%